You John J, Woo Anna, Ko Dennis T, Cameron Douglas A, Mihailovic Alexandra, Krahn Murray
Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Am Heart J. 2007 Nov;154(5):899-907. doi: 10.1016/j.ahj.2007.06.026.
Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a devastating complication of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). The optimal strategy for the primary prevention of SCD in HCM remains controversial.
Using a Markov model, we compared the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of 3 strategies for the primary prevention of SCD: implantable cardioverter/defibrillator (ICD) insertion, amiodarone therapy, or no therapy. We modeled hypothetical cohorts of 45-year-old patients with HCM with no history of cardiac arrest but at significant risk of SCD (3%/y).
Over a lifetime, compared with no therapy, ICD therapy increased quality-adjusted survival by 4.7 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) at an additional cost of $142,800 ($30,000 per QALY), whereas amiodarone increased quality-adjusted survival by 2.8 QALYs at an additional cost of $104,900 ($37,300 per QALY). Compared with no therapy, ICD therapy would cost < $50,000 per QALY for patients (i) aged 25, with > or = 1 risk factors for SCD, and (ii) aged 45 or 65, with > or = 2 risk factors for SCD.
An ICD strategy is projected to yield the greatest increase in quality-adjusted life expectancy of the 3 treatment strategies evaluated. Combined consideration of age and the number of risk factors for SCD may allow more precise tailoring of ICD therapy to its expected benefits.
心源性猝死(SCD)是肥厚型心肌病(HCM)的一种毁灭性并发症。HCM患者SCD一级预防的最佳策略仍存在争议。
我们使用马尔可夫模型比较了SCD一级预防的三种策略的健康效益和成本效益:植入式心脏复律除颤器(ICD)植入、胺碘酮治疗或不治疗。我们对45岁无心脏骤停病史但有显著SCD风险(3%/年)的HCM患者的假设队列进行了建模。
在一生中,与不治疗相比,ICD治疗使质量调整生存期增加了4.7个质量调整生命年(QALY),额外成本为142,800美元(每QALY 30,000美元),而胺碘酮使质量调整生存期增加了2.8个QALY,额外成本为104,900美元(每QALY 37,300美元)。与不治疗相比,对于(i)25岁且有≥1个SCD危险因素的患者,以及(ii)45岁或65岁且有≥2个SCD危险因素的患者,ICD治疗每QALY的成本将低于50,000美元。
在评估的三种治疗策略中,预计ICD策略能使质量调整预期寿命增加最多。综合考虑年龄和SCD危险因素的数量,可能会使ICD治疗更精确地根据预期效益进行调整。