White Richard H, Zhou Hong, Murin Susan
Division of General Medicine, University of California, Davis, California, USA.
Thromb Haemost. 2008 Apr;99(4):683-90. doi: 10.1160/TH07-09-0557.
The incidence of death due to recurrent pulmonary embolism (PE) after a first-time idiopathic PE is not well defined. We conducted a retrospective study of patients age 18 to 56 years who had idiopathic PE between 1994-2001. The incidence and cause of death within five years was determined using linked discharge records and a master death registry. A total of 3,456 patients had a first-time idiopathic PE. The rate of recurrent VTE 0-6 months after the index event was 13.1%/year, and 2.9%/year 6-60 months after the event. During the mean follow-up of 3.2 years 118 (3.4%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.8-4.1%) patients died. Fifty-two (44%) deaths occurred <29 days after the index PE (case-fatality rate = 1.5%, 95%CI = 1.1-2.0%). Among the 66 cases (1.9%) that died after 28 days, 18 (0.52%) were due to recurrent PE or its sequelae: eight had recurrent PE alone, five had recurrent PE and a serious co-morbid illness, and five had thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension with or without acute PE. The person-time rate of death (deaths per 100 patient-years) attributed to any recurrent thromboembolism 6-60 months after the event was 0.16% (95%CI = 0.1-0.26%). Ten of the 18 (56%) late thromboembolic deaths reflected a first-time recurrent PE. The 28-day case-fatality rate for recurrent VTE was 2.8% (95%CI = 1.5-4.9%). In this cohort of younger patients with idiopathic PE, the rate of death due to recurrent VTE, particularly to first-time recurrent PE, was low. Among the patients who died of thromboembolism >28 days after the index PE, 28% had developed pulmonary hypertension.
首次特发性肺栓塞(PE)后复发性肺栓塞导致的死亡率尚未明确界定。我们对1994年至2001年间患有特发性PE的18至56岁患者进行了一项回顾性研究。使用关联的出院记录和主死亡登记册确定五年内的死亡率和死因。共有3456例患者发生首次特发性PE。首次事件后0至6个月复发性静脉血栓栓塞(VTE)的发生率为每年13.1%,事件后6至60个月为每年2.9%。在平均3.2年的随访期间,118例(3.4%,95%置信区间[CI]=2.8 - 4.1%)患者死亡。52例(44%)死亡发生在首次PE后<29天(病死率=1.5%,95%CI = 1.1 - 2.0%)。在28天后死亡的66例(1.9%)病例中,18例(0.52%)死于复发性PE或其后遗症:8例仅发生复发性PE,5例发生复发性PE并伴有严重合并症,5例患有血栓栓塞性肺动脉高压,伴或不伴有急性PE。事件后6至60个月因任何复发性血栓栓塞导致的人时死亡率(每100患者年的死亡数)为0.16%(95%CI = 0.1 - 0.26%)。18例晚期血栓栓塞性死亡中有10例(56%)为首次复发性PE。复发性VTE的28天病死率为2.8%(95%CI = 1.5 - 4.9%)。在这一队列的年轻特发性PE患者中,因复发性VTE,尤其是首次复发性PE导致的死亡率较低。在首次PE后>28天死于血栓栓塞的患者中,28%已发生肺动脉高压。