Markowski Adam S, Mannan M Sam
Process Safety and Ecological Division, Faculty of Process and Environmental Engineering Technical University of Lodz, 90-924 Lodz, ul. Wolczanska 213, Poland.
J Hazard Mater. 2008 Nov 15;159(1):152-7. doi: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2008.03.055. Epub 2008 Mar 20.
A risk matrix is a mechanism to characterize and rank process risks that are typically identified through one or more multifunctional reviews (e.g., process hazard analysis, audits, or incident investigation). This paper describes a procedure for developing a fuzzy risk matrix that may be used for emerging fuzzy logic applications in different safety analyses (e.g., LOPA). The fuzzification of frequency and severity of the consequences of the incident scenario are described which are basic inputs for fuzzy risk matrix. Subsequently using different design of risk matrix, fuzzy rules are established enabling the development of fuzzy risk matrices. Three types of fuzzy risk matrix have been developed (low-cost, standard, and high-cost), and using a distillation column case study, the effect of the design on final defuzzified risk index is demonstrated.
风险矩阵是一种用于描述和排列过程风险的机制,这些风险通常通过一次或多次多功能评审(如过程危害分析、审核或事故调查)来识别。本文描述了一种开发模糊风险矩阵的程序,该矩阵可用于不同安全分析(如保护层分析)中新兴的模糊逻辑应用。文中阐述了事件场景后果的频率和严重性的模糊化处理,这是模糊风险矩阵的基本输入。随后,利用不同的风险矩阵设计,建立了模糊规则,从而能够开发模糊风险矩阵。已开发出三种类型的模糊风险矩阵(低成本型、标准型和高成本型),并通过一个精馏塔案例研究,展示了该设计对最终去模糊化风险指数的影响。