Ristow Bryan, Ali Sadia, Whooley Mary A, Schiller Nelson B
California Pacific Medical Center, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Am J Cardiol. 2008 Jul 1;102(1):70-6. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2008.02.099. Epub 2008 May 9.
The predictive value of left atrial (LA) dilatation in ambulatory adults with coronary artery disease is not known. It was hypothesized that echocardiographic LA volume index (LAVI) predicts heart failure (HF) hospitalization and mortality with similar statistical power as left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in ambulatory adults with coronary artery disease. We measured LAVI in 935 adults without atrial fibrillation, atrial flutter, or significant mitral valve disease in the Heart and Soul Study. LAVI was calculated using the biplane method of disks. Outcomes included HF hospitalization and mortality. Logistic regression odds ratios (ORs) were calculated and adjusted for age, demographics, medical history, left ventricular mass, diastolic function, and LVEF. Mean LAVI was 32 +/- 11 ml/m2, and mean LVEF was 62 +/- 10%. Sixty-six patients (7%) had LAVI >50 ml/m2. There were 108 HF hospitalizations and 180 deaths at 4.3 years of follow-up. C statistics calculated as the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve were the same (0.60) for LAVI and LVEF in predicting mortality. The unadjusted OR for HF hospitalization was 4.4 for LAVI >50 ml/m2 and 5.3 for LVEF <45% (p <0.001). In those with normal LVEF, the ORs for LAVI >50 ml/m2 were 5.2 for HF hospitalization (p <0.0001) and 2.5 for mortality (p = 0.006). After multivariate adjustment, LAVI >50 ml/m2 was predictive of HF hospitalization (OR 2.4, p = 0.02), and LAVI >40 ml/m2 was predictive of mortality (OR 1.9, p = 0.005). In conclusion, LAVI had similar predictability as LVEF for HF hospitalization and mortality in ambulatory adults with coronary artery disease.
左心房(LA)扩张在非卧床成年冠心病患者中的预测价值尚不清楚。研究假设,在非卧床成年冠心病患者中,超声心动图测量的左心房容积指数(LAVI)预测心力衰竭(HF)住院和死亡的统计学效力与左心室射血分数(LVEF)相似。在“心灵研究”中,我们对935名无房颤、房扑或显著二尖瓣疾病的成年人测量了LAVI。LAVI采用双平面圆盘法计算。研究结局包括HF住院和死亡。计算逻辑回归比值比(OR),并对年龄、人口统计学、病史、左心室质量、舒张功能和LVEF进行校正。平均LAVI为32±11 ml/m2,平均LVEF为62±10%。66例患者(7%)的LAVI>50 ml/m2。在4.3年的随访中,有108例HF住院和180例死亡。在预测死亡率方面,LAVI和LVEF的受试者工作特征曲线下面积计算的C统计量相同(0.60)。LAVI>50 ml/m2时HF住院的未校正OR为4.4,LVEF<45%时为5.3(p<0.001)。在LVEF正常的患者中,LAVI>50 ml/m2时HF住院的OR为5.2(p<0.0001),死亡的OR为2.5(p = 0.006)。多变量校正后,LAVI>50 ml/m2可预测HF住院(OR 2.4,p = 0.02),LAVI>40 ml/m2可预测死亡(OR 1.9,p = 0.005)。总之,在非卧床成年冠心病患者中,LAVI在预测HF住院和死亡方面与LVEF具有相似的预测能力。