Hystad Perry U, Setton Eleanor M, Allen Ryan W, Keller Peter C, Brauer Michael
Department of Geography, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada.
J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol. 2009 Sep;19(6):570-9. doi: 10.1038/jes.2008.45. Epub 2008 Aug 20.
Individuals spend the majority of their time indoors; therefore, estimating infiltration of outdoor-generated fine particulate matter (PM(2.5)) can help reduce exposure misclassification in epidemiological studies. As indoor measurements in individual homes are not feasible in large epidemiological studies, we evaluated the potential of using readily available data to predict infiltration of ambient PM(2.5) into residences. Indoor and outdoor light scattering measurements were collected for 84 homes in Seattle, Washington, USA, and Victoria, British Columbia, Canada, to estimate residential infiltration efficiencies. Meteorological variables and spatial property assessment data (SPAD), containing detailed housing characteristics for individual residences, were compiled for both study areas using a geographic information system. Multiple linear regression was used to construct models of infiltration based on these data. Heating (October to February) and non-heating (March to September) season accounted for 36% of the yearly variation in detached residential infiltration. Two SPAD housing characteristic variables, low building value, and heating with forced air, predicted 37% of the variation found between detached residential infiltration during the heating season. The final model, incorporating temperature and the two SPAD housing characteristic variables, with a seasonal interaction term, explained 54% of detached residential infiltration. Residences with low building values had higher infiltration efficiencies than other residences, which could lead to greater exposure gradients between low and high socioeconomic status individuals than previously identified using only ambient PM(2.5) concentrations. This modeling approach holds promise for incorporating infiltration efficiencies into large epidemiology studies, thereby reducing exposure misclassification.
人们大部分时间都待在室内;因此,估算室外产生的细颗粒物(PM2.5)的渗入情况有助于减少流行病学研究中的暴露误分类。由于在大型流行病学研究中对单个家庭进行室内测量不可行,我们评估了利用现有数据预测环境PM2.5渗入住宅的可能性。在美国华盛顿州西雅图市和加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省维多利亚市的84户家庭中收集了室内和室外光散射测量数据,以估算住宅的渗入效率。使用地理信息系统为两个研究区域编制了气象变量和空间属性评估数据(SPAD),其中包含各个住宅的详细房屋特征。基于这些数据,采用多元线性回归构建渗入模型。供暖季(10月至2月)和非供暖季(3月至9月)占独立式住宅渗入量年变化的36%。两个SPAD房屋特征变量,即低建筑价值和强制空气供暖,预测了供暖季独立式住宅渗入量之间37%的变化。最终模型纳入了温度和两个SPAD房屋特征变量,并带有季节交互项,解释了独立式住宅渗入量的54%。建筑价值低的住宅比其他住宅具有更高的渗入效率,这可能导致社会经济地位低和高的个体之间的暴露梯度比仅使用环境PM2.5浓度时先前确定的更大。这种建模方法有望将渗入效率纳入大型流行病学研究,从而减少暴露误分类。