Moulton L H, Lê M G
Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor 48109.
J Clin Epidemiol. 1991;44(9):915-23. doi: 10.1016/0895-4356(91)90054-d.
Detailed historical data are elicited often from subjects in retrospective studies, yielding time-dependent measures of exposures. Investigation of a hypothesized period of latency can be made by examining disease/exposure relationships in multiple time windows, either along the age or time-before diagnosis axes. We suggest splitting the data into many time intervals and separately fitting regression models to the available data in each interval. Covariances between estimated coefficients from different intervals are empirically estimated, and used for assessing variability of specified functions of the time-specific coefficients. Alternative methods of interval formation and their consequences are discussed. We apply these methods to a French case-control study of oral contraceptive use and cervical cancer incidence, and compare the results to those of standard analyses.
详细的历史数据通常来自回顾性研究中的受试者,从而得出随时间变化的暴露量度。可以通过检查多个时间窗口内的疾病/暴露关系来研究假设的潜伏期,这些时间窗口可以是沿着年龄轴或诊断前时间轴。我们建议将数据分成许多时间间隔,并分别对每个间隔中的可用数据拟合回归模型。通过经验估计不同间隔的估计系数之间的协方差,并将其用于评估特定时间系数的特定函数的变异性。讨论了间隔形成的替代方法及其后果。我们将这些方法应用于一项关于口服避孕药使用与宫颈癌发病率的法国病例对照研究,并将结果与标准分析结果进行比较。