Banner Nicholas R, Rogers Chris A, Bonser Robert S
Clinical Effectiveness Unit, The Royal College of Surgeons of England, London, United Kingdom.
Transplantation. 2008 Dec 15;86(11):1515-22. doi: 10.1097/TP.0b013e31818b3328.
In the absence of randomized trials comparing heart transplantation (HTx) with medical therapy for the treatment of advanced heart failure (HF), the role of HTx remains uncertain. Using data from a national audit, we examined the effect of HTx on HF mortality in the United Kingdom.
Two thousand two hundred nineteen adults listed for HTx from April 1995 to October 2003 and followed to June 2007 were analyzed. In a substudy of 627 patients from two centers, ambulatory patients were risk-stratified by the heart failure survival score. A time-dependent nonproportional hazards model was used to estimate the effect of HTx.
Fourteen percent of patients were nonambulatory at listing. Death while waiting was higher among nonambulatory patients (19% vs. 14% in the ambulatory group, P<0.001 with 76% vs. 71% being transplanted). Posttransplant survival to 3 years was 78% and 75% in nonambulatory and ambulatory groups, respectively (P=0.68). HTx was found to benefit all groups. For nonambulatory patients, the risk of dying after HTx fell below the risk of dying while waiting after 10 days (95% CI 2-18) with a net survival benefit after 26 days (95% CI 5-53); for the ambulatory group the estimates were 42 days (95% CI 36-47) and 274 days (95% CI 214-359), respectively. In the substudy cohort net survival benefit was seen after 20, 124, 291, and 729 days for the nonambulatory, high, moderate, and low heart failure survival score risk groups, respectively.
HTx remains an effective treatment of advanced HF. Prioritization of patients with refractory HF is rational, because they are the first to benefit.
在缺乏比较心脏移植(HTx)与药物治疗晚期心力衰竭(HF)的随机试验的情况下,心脏移植的作用仍不明确。我们利用一项全国性审计的数据,研究了心脏移植对英国心力衰竭死亡率的影响。
分析了1995年4月至2003年10月期间登记接受心脏移植并随访至2007年6月的2219名成年人。在一项来自两个中心的627名患者的子研究中,门诊患者根据心力衰竭生存评分进行风险分层。使用时间依赖性非比例风险模型来估计心脏移植的效果。
14%的患者在登记时非门诊状态。非门诊患者等待期间的死亡率更高(19% vs. 门诊组的14%,P<0.001,移植率分别为76% vs. 71%)。非门诊组和门诊组移植后3年生存率分别为78%和75%(P = 0.68)。发现心脏移植对所有组都有益。对于非门诊患者,心脏移植后死亡风险在10天后(95%CI 2 - 18)降至等待期间死亡风险以下,26天后(95%CI 5 - 53)有净生存获益;对于门诊组,估计分别为42天(95%CI 36 - 47)和274天(95%CI 214 - 359)。在子研究队列中,非门诊、高、中、低心力衰竭生存评分风险组分别在20、124、291和729天后出现净生存获益。
心脏移植仍然是晚期心力衰竭的有效治疗方法。对难治性心力衰竭患者进行优先排序是合理的,因为他们是最先获益的人群。