Goeree Ron, Bowen James M, Blackhouse Gord, Lazzam Charles, Cohen Eric, Chiu Maria, Hopkins Rob, Tarride Jean-Eric, Tu Jack V
Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Int J Technol Assess Health Care. 2009 Apr;25(2):196-207. doi: 10.1017/S0266462309090254. Epub 2009 Mar 31.
To determine the cost-effectiveness (CE) and cost-utility (CU) of drug-eluting stents (DES) compared to bare metal stents (BMS) in Ontario using a large prospective "real-world" cohort study and determine the extent to which results vary by patient risk subgroups.
A field evaluation was conducted based on all stent procedures in the province of Ontario between December 1, 2003, and March 31, 2005, with a minimum subject follow-up of 1 year. Effectiveness data from the study using a propensity-score matched cohort were combined with resource utilization and cost data and quality of life (QOL) data from the published literature in a decision analytic modeling framework to determine 2-year cost-effectiveness (cost per revascularization avoided) and cost-utility (cost per quality-adjusted life-year ([QALY] gained). Stochastic model parameter uncertainty was expressed using probability distributions and analyzed using a probabilistic model. Modeling assumptions were assessed using traditional deterministic sensitivity analysis.
Significant differences in revascularization rates were found for patients with two or more high risk factors. Despite these differences, the CE and CU of DES remained high (e.g., $419,000 per QALY gained in the most favorable patient risk subgroup). In sensitivity analysis, the difference in cost between DES and BMS had an impact on the CE and CU results. For example, at a price differential of $500, the CU of DES was $20,000/QALY for one patient subgroup and DES was dominant (i.e., less costly and more effective) in another.
At current prices, the CE/CU of DES compared with BMS is high even in patient high risk subgroups. As the relative price of DES decrease, the value for money attractiveness of DES increases, especially for selected high risk patients.
采用大规模前瞻性“真实世界”队列研究,确定安大略省药物洗脱支架(DES)与裸金属支架(BMS)相比的成本效益(CE)和成本效用(CU),并确定结果在患者风险亚组中的差异程度。
基于2003年12月1日至2005年3月31日安大略省所有支架手术进行现场评估,受试者至少随访1年。在决策分析建模框架中,将倾向评分匹配队列研究的有效性数据与资源利用、成本数据以及已发表文献中的生活质量(QOL)数据相结合,以确定2年成本效益(避免的每次血运重建成本)和成本效用(每获得的质量调整生命年[QALY]成本)。使用概率分布表示随机模型参数不确定性,并通过概率模型进行分析。使用传统确定性敏感性分析评估建模假设。
发现有两个或更多高风险因素的患者血运重建率存在显著差异。尽管存在这些差异,DES的CE和CU仍然很高(例如,在最有利的患者风险亚组中,每获得一个QALY的成本为419,000美元)。在敏感性分析中,DES和BMS之间的成本差异对CE和CU结果有影响。例如,在差价为500美元时,DES对一个患者亚组的CU为20,000美元/QALY,而在另一个亚组中DES占主导地位(即成本更低且更有效)。
按当前价格,即使在患者高风险亚组中,DES与BMS相比的CE/CU也很高。随着DES相对价格的降低,DES的性价比吸引力增加,尤其是对于选定的高风险患者。