Havrilesky Laura J, Maxwell G Larry, Myers Evan R
Division of Gynecologic Oncology, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC 27710, USA.
Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2009 Jun;200(6):640.e1-8. doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2009.02.022. Epub 2009 Apr 19.
The objective of the study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of annual screening tests for endometrial cancer.
Markov state transition model of the natural history of endometrial cancer used as the design for the study. Incidence was modeled for the general population and high risk groups (obese, body mass index [BMI] of >or= 30 kg/m(2); tamoxifen users). Strategies evaluated were no screening, annual endometrial biopsy, annual endovaginal ultrasound, and annual serum screening. Serum screening was based on a recently described biomarker panel (sensitivity of 0.98, specificity of 0.98).
In the general population model, no screening was least expensive, whereas annual serum screening age at 50-75 years had incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $60,363 per year of life saved (YLS) compared with no screening. In a high-risk population (obesity, BMI of >or= 30 kg/m(2)), annual serum screening at age 45-80 years had ICER of $41,226 per YLS compared with no screening. Annual endometrial biopsy and annual transvaginal ultrasound were dominated.
Annual serum screening for endometrial cancer has the potential to be cost effective when applied to high-risk populations.
本研究的目的是确定子宫内膜癌年度筛查试验的成本效益。
采用子宫内膜癌自然病史的马尔可夫状态转移模型作为研究设计。对一般人群和高危人群(肥胖,体重指数[BMI]≥30kg/m²;使用他莫昔芬者)的发病率进行建模。评估的策略包括不进行筛查、年度子宫内膜活检、年度经阴道超声检查和年度血清筛查。血清筛查基于最近描述的生物标志物组合(敏感性为0.98,特异性为0.98)。
在一般人群模型中,不进行筛查成本最低,而50 - 75岁进行年度血清筛查与不进行筛查相比,每挽救一年生命(YLS)的增量成本效益比(ICER)为60,363美元。在高危人群(肥胖,BMI≥30kg/m²)中,45 - 80岁进行年度血清筛查与不进行筛查相比,每YLS的ICER为41,226美元。年度子宫内膜活检和年度经阴道超声检查不具优势。
对高危人群应用年度血清筛查子宫内膜癌有可能具有成本效益。