Clinical Experimental Research Laboratory, Sahlgrenska University Hospital Ostra and Institute of Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Sweden.
J Intern Med. 2010 Mar;267(3):295-304. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2796.2009.02142.x. Epub 2009 Jun 11.
To identify, in a prospective study, how blood pressure levels at the age of twenty predict hypertension and cardiovascular remodelling 20 years later.
Twenty-year-old men with blood pressure (BP) elevation [systolic blood pressure (SBP) 140-160 and/or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) 85-95 mmHg; blood pressure elevation (BPE) group] or normal BP [SBP 110-130 and DBP 60-80 mmHg; normal controls (NC) group] entered the study in 1987. In 2007, follow-up was conducted including ambulatory BP, echocardiography, anthropometric and intima media thickness (IMT) measurements.
Assessed with 24-h ambulatory BP, the prevalence of hypertension was 35/47 (74.5%) and 1/17 (5.9%) in the BPE and NC group at follow-up respectively. Twenty-four hour mean arterial pressure (MAP) increased from 86.6 (0.8) to 97.2 (1.2) (P < 0.0001), and from 83.1 (1.5) to 88.1 (1.2) mmHg (P < 0.01) from baseline to follow-up in the BPE and NC group respectively. At follow-up, left ventricular mass index (LVMI) was 122 (4) and 106 (4) g m(-1) in the BPE and NC group (unpaired t-test; P < 0.01) respectively, whilst IMT was 0.61 (0.01) and 0.57 (0.01) mm in the BPE and NC group (P < 0.05) respectively. In a logistic regression model, prevalence of hypertension was best explained by office MAP and 24-h DBP at baseline (R(2) 0.333; P < 0.05). A combined model of office MAP, body mass index and insulin levels at baseline explained 56% of LVMI at follow-up.
BP elevation in young age predicts hypertension and adverse cardiovascular remodelling at the age of 40 years. Baseline office MAP is the best predictor of hypertension, 24-h MAP and LVMI.
前瞻性研究 20 岁时的血压水平如何预测 20 年后的高血压和心血管重构。
1987 年,血压升高的 20 岁男性(收缩压 140-160 且/或舒张压 85-95mmHg;血压升高组)或血压正常的 20 岁男性(收缩压 110-130 且舒张压 60-80mmHg;正常对照组)进入研究。2007 年,进行了随访,包括动态血压、超声心动图、人体测量和内膜中层厚度(IMT)测量。
用 24 小时动态血压评估,血压升高组在随访时高血压的患病率为 35/47(74.5%),正常对照组为 1/17(5.9%)。24 小时平均动脉压(MAP)从基线时的 86.6(0.8)mmHg 增加到随访时的 97.2(1.2)mmHg(P<0.0001),从 83.1(1.5)mmHg 增加到 88.1(1.2)mmHg(P<0.01),分别在血压升高组和正常对照组。在随访时,血压升高组的左心室质量指数(LVMI)为 122(4)g/m²,正常对照组为 106(4)g/m²(未配对 t 检验;P<0.01),而内膜中层厚度(IMT)分别为 0.61(0.01)mm 和 0.57(0.01)mm(P<0.05)在血压升高组和正常对照组中。在逻辑回归模型中,高血压的患病率最好由基线时的诊室 MAP 和 24 小时舒张压解释(R² 0.333;P<0.05)。基线时的诊室 MAP、体重指数和胰岛素水平的综合模型解释了随访时 LVMI 的 56%。
年轻时的血压升高可预测 40 岁时的高血压和不良心血管重构。基线诊室 MAP 是高血压、24 小时 MAP 和 LVMI 的最佳预测因子。