Shore R E
Institute of Environmental Medicine, New York University Medical Center.
Int J Radiat Biol. 1990 Apr;57(4):809-27. doi: 10.1080/09553009014550951.
There are about a dozen studies of the incidence of skin cancer among irradiated populations with known skin doses that are available for estimating the risk of radiation-induced skin cancer. It is of note that they provide no evidence for a dose threshold and are compatible with a linear dose-response relationship, at least for ultraviolet radiation exposed skin. The studies also provide varying amounts of evidence concerning a number of other important issues in assessing skin cancer risk: types of skin cancer induced by ionizing radiation, the appropriateness of relative risk vs absolute risk models, combined effects of ionizing and UV radiations, and variations in sensitivity to skin cancer induction among demographic and genetic subgroups. Little epidemiological information is available on several factors, such as the RBE for high-LET radiation, the effects of dose protraction or fractionation, or variations in risk by age at irradiation. A reasonable estimate of skin cancer lethality was 0.2 per cent when weighted for the relative proportions of squamous cell and basal cell skin cancers. Average risk estimates of radiation-induced skin cancer incidence were: absolute risk (AR) of 8.5 X 10(-4) person-year-Sv and excess relative risk (RR) of 52 per cent/Sv. Lifetime skin cancer risk was calculated by life-table methods for males from exposures spread out over ages 20-60 years. The estimates for excess skin cancer incidence were 2 per cent and 11 per cent per Sv under the AR and RR models, respectively, while the corresponding mortality risks were 4 X 10(-5) and 2 X 10(-4) per Sv.
对于已知皮肤剂量的受辐照人群,有大约十二项关于皮肤癌发病率的研究可用于估算辐射诱发皮肤癌的风险。值得注意的是,这些研究没有提供剂量阈值的证据,并且至少对于暴露于紫外线辐射的皮肤而言,与线性剂量反应关系相符。这些研究还提供了关于评估皮肤癌风险的许多其他重要问题的不同程度的证据:电离辐射诱发的皮肤癌类型、相对风险模型与绝对风险模型的适用性、电离辐射和紫外线辐射的联合效应,以及不同人口统计学和遗传亚组之间对皮肤癌诱发的敏感性差异。关于几个因素,如高传能线密度辐射的相对生物效应、剂量延长或分次照射的影响,或受照年龄导致的风险差异,几乎没有流行病学信息。当根据鳞状细胞癌和基底细胞癌的相对比例加权时,皮肤癌致死率的合理估计为0.2%。辐射诱发皮肤癌发病率的平均风险估计为:绝对风险(AR)为8.5×10⁻⁴人年/希沃特,超额相对风险(RR)为52%/希沃特。通过生命表方法计算了20至60岁男性在不同年龄阶段暴露后的终生皮肤癌风险。在绝对风险模型和相对风险模型下,超额皮肤癌发病率的估计分别为每希沃特2%和11%,而相应的死亡风险分别为每希沃特4×10⁻⁵和2×10⁻⁴。