Department of Agricultural, Food and Resource Economics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824-1039, USA.
J Econ Entomol. 2009 Dec;102(6):2116-25. doi: 10.1603/029.102.0615.
Soybean aphid, Aphis glycines Matsumura, is a major invasive pest that has caused substantial yield loss and increased insecticide use in the United States since its discovery in 2000. Using the economic surplus approach, we estimate the economic benefits of U.S. research and outreach for integrated pest management (IPM) of soybean aphid. We calculate ex ante net benefits from adoption of an IPM economic threshold (ET). The ET triggers insecticide application only if the value of predicted yield damage from pest scouting is expected to exceed the cost of pest control. Our research finds that gradual adoption of an ET for soybean aphid management will generate a projected economic net benefit of $1.3 billion, for an internal rate of return of 124%, over the 15 yr since soybean aphid IPM research began in 2003. Lower and upper bound sensitivity analysis brackets the estimated net benefit to U.S. consumers and soybean, Glycine max (L.) Merr., growers in the range of $0.6 to $2.6 billion in 2005 dollars. If a 10% rate of return is attributed to IPM applied research and outreach on soybean aphid, that would leave nearly $800 million to compensate prior activities that contribute to the development and adoption of IPM.
大豆蚜,Aphis glycines Matsumura,是一种主要的入侵害虫,自 2000 年在美国发现以来,已导致大量产量损失和杀虫剂使用量增加。我们使用经济剩余方法估计了美国对大豆蚜综合虫害管理(IPM)的研究和推广的经济效益。我们计算了采用 IPM 经济阈值(ET)的预期净收益。只有当根据害虫侦察预测的产量损失价值预计将超过害虫防治成本时,才会触发杀虫剂的应用。我们的研究发现,自 2003 年开始大豆蚜 IPM 研究以来,逐步采用大豆蚜管理的 ET 将在 15 年内产生预计的 13 亿美元经济净效益,内部收益率为 124%。对美国消费者和大豆种植者(Glycine max(L.)Merr.)的估计净效益的下限和上限敏感性分析范围为 2005 年美元的 60 亿至 26 亿美元。如果将 10%的回报率归因于大豆蚜 IPM 的应用研究和推广,那么这将为推动和采用 IPM 做出贡献的前期活动留下近 8 亿美元的补偿。