Reproductive risk factors for culling and productive life in large dairy herds in the eastern United States between 2001 and 2006.

Knowledge of reproductive risk factors for culling is useful in making insemination and culling decisions and helps motivate efforts to reduce or eliminate risk factors. The objective of this study was to describe survival and reproductive risk factors for culling in Holstein dairy herds with at least 200 cows. Results were calculated from 2,345,015 DHI lactation records from 727 herds with at least 200 cows from 2001 to 2006. Herds were located in 36 states primarily located east of the Mississippi River. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were obtained and daily hazards of culling were calculated with the actuarial method. Cox regression was performed with the GLIMMIX procedure in SAS (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC). The hazard of culling increased with parity number. Cows in their sixth parity had 3 times greater hazards than cows in their first parity. Medium remaining productive life for cows calving in parity 1 to 6 were 907, 697, 553, 469, 423, and 399 d, respectively. Daily hazards of culling first peaked approximately 30 d after calving and then again later in lactation, after 280 d, for older cows. Hazards for first-parity cows peaked earlier, around d 10 after calving, and the first-parity cows had lower risks of culling later in lactation than older cows. Pregnant cows had 3 to 7 times lower hazards of culling than open cows. Hazards of culling increased for cows that had greater calving difficulty, gave birth to males or twins, were in herds with shorter days to first insemination, or had longer days to conception. The possible to likely use of a synchronized breeding program increased from 21.9% in 2001 to 41.4% in 2006. Cows in herds that did not use a synchronized breeding program had slightly lower risks of culling than those in herds that at least possibly used a synchronized breeding program.