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在缺乏基线数据的情况下评估干预结果:使用调查数据的回顾性分析“重建” condom 使用时间趋势。

Assessment of intervention outcome in the absence of baseline data: 'reconstruction' of condom use time trends using retrospective analysis of survey data.

机构信息

Department HIV & Sexually Transmitted Infections, Centre for Infections, Health Protection Agency, London, UK.

出版信息

Sex Transm Infect. 2010 Feb;86 Suppl 1(Suppl_1):i49-55. doi: 10.1136/sti.2009.038802.


DOI:10.1136/sti.2009.038802
PMID:20167731
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3252609/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Avahan, the India AIDS Initiative, is a large-scale targeted intervention. Data on condom use prior to Avahan are unavailable. The authors used a novel method of analysing cross-sectional survey data to 'reconstruct' condom use rates in presurvey years, and to assess the relationship between Avahan and time trends in condom use among female sex workers (FSWs). METHODS: Among FSWs reporting consistent condom use (CCU) with clients in surveys from 21 districts in southern India (n=7358), data on length of time using condoms, and length of time selling sex, were converted into number of FSWs using condoms (numerator) and selling sex (denominator) by year, to give yearly rates of CCU from 2001 to year of survey. Linear regression with generalised estimating equations was used to assess time trends and to compare the rate of increase in condom use before and after Avahan initiation in 2003. RESULTS: In all 21 districts, the rate of increase in CCU from 2001 to time of the surveys was highly significant. Overall CCU increased from 27% (22%) with occasional (regular) clients in 2001, to 76% (68%) in 2006, respectively. The yearly rate of increase in CCU was significantly greater after (slope 2003-2006: 12.7% (12.0%) per year for occasional (regular) clients) than prior to Avahan (slope 2001-2003: 5.1% (5.3%) per year for occasional (regular) clients) implementation (p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicate a positive relationship between implementation of the Avahan programme and rates of CCU increase among FSW. This method of analysis may be useful in other contexts where preintervention data are lacking.

摘要

背景:印度艾滋病倡议项目(Avahan)是一项大规模的有针对性干预措施。在此项目之前,有关 condom 使用的数据不可用。作者采用了一种新颖的方法来分析横断面调查数据,以“重建”在预调查年份 condom 使用率,并评估 Avahan 与女性性工作者(FSW)中 condom 使用时间趋势之间的关系。

方法:在印度南部 21 个地区的调查中,报告与客户持续 condom 使用(CCU)的 FSW(n=7358)中,有关 condom 使用时间和性交易时间的数据被转换为每年使用 condom 的 FSW 数量(分子)和销售性服务的数量(分母),以给出从 2001 年到调查年份的 CCU 每年的发生率。使用广义估计方程的线性回归来评估时间趋势,并比较在 2003 年启动 Avahan 前后 condom 使用增长率。

结果:在所有 21 个地区,从 2001 年到调查时 CCU 增长率均具有高度显著性。总体而言,CCU 从 2001 年偶尔(定期)客户的 27%(22%)增加到 2006 年的 76%(68%)。与 Avahan 实施前(斜率 2001-2003:偶尔(定期)客户每年增加 5.1%(5.3%))相比,CCU 每年的增长率在 Avahan 实施后(斜率 2003-2006:偶尔(定期)客户每年增加 12.7%(12.0%))显著更高(p<0.0001)。

结论:研究结果表明,Avahan 项目的实施与 FSW 中 CCU 增长率之间存在正相关关系。这种分析方法在其他缺乏预干预数据的情况下可能有用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0fd0/3252609/b163bea52c19/sti038802.f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0fd0/3252609/b163bea52c19/sti038802.f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0fd0/3252609/b163bea52c19/sti038802.f1.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Scale-up and coverage of Avahan: a large-scale HIV-prevention programme among female sex workers and men who have sex with men in four Indian states.

Sex Transm Infect. 2010-2

[2]
Programme coverage, condom use and STI treatment among FSWs in a large-scale HIV prevention programme: results from cross-sectional surveys in 22 districts in southern India.

Sex Transm Infect. 2010-2

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Assessing reported condom use among female sex workers in southern India through examination of condom availability.

Sex Transm Infect. 2010-2

[4]
Interim modelling analysis to validate reported increases in condom use and assess HIV infections averted among female sex workers and clients in southern India following a targeted HIV prevention programme.

Sex Transm Infect. 2010-2

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Changes in risk behaviours and prevalence of sexually transmitted infections following HIV preventive interventions among female sex workers in five districts in Karnataka state, south India.

Sex Transm Infect. 2010-2

[6]
Declines in risk behaviour and sexually transmitted infection prevalence following a community-led HIV preventive intervention among female sex workers in Mysore, India.

AIDS. 2008-12

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Baseline integrated behavioural and biological assessment among most at-risk populations in six high-prevalence states of India: design and implementation challenges.

AIDS. 2008-12

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Evaluation design for large-scale HIV prevention programmes: the case of Avahan, the India AIDS initiative.

AIDS. 2008-12

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Assessment of self-reported sexual behavior and condom use among female sex workers in India using a polling box approach: a preliminary report.

Sex Transm Dis. 2008-5

[10]
Evaluating large-scale HIV prevention interventions: study design for an integrated mathematical modelling approach.

Sex Transm Infect. 2007-12

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