Department of Cardiology, Gentofte University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Int J Cardiol. 2011 Jun 16;149(3):304-9. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2010.02.007. Epub 2010 Feb 23.
Decision making regarding surgical intervention in native valve endocarditis (NVE) is often complex and surgery is withheld in a number of patients either because medical treatment is considered the best treatment or because the risk of operation is considered too high. The objective of this study was to investigate the outcome of surgical treatment and to validate the ability of euroSCORE to predict operative mortality in NVE patients.
Prospective cohort study including 323 consecutive NVE patients. Patients were divided into 3 groups based on treatment strategy and indication/contraindication for surgery. The additive and logistic euroSCORE was calculated and the observed and predicted mortality was compared.
Cardiac surgery was associated with a good prognosis, in-hospital and after 12months, compared to conservative treatment. After adjustment for confounders surgery was associated with a survival benefit (hazard ratio (HR) 0.45, 95% CI: 0.27-0.76%; p=0.003). When propensity score was used in regression adjustment, cardiac surgery was still associated with a better outcome after 12months (HR 0.41, 95% CI: 0.25-0.68; p<0.001). Observed mortality for patients receiving surgical treatment was 11% compared to a mean logistic euroSCORE mortality of 16% (NS). The discriminating ability of euroSCORE was good, area under the ROC curve 0.74 (95% CI: 0.64-0.84; p<0.001) logistic model and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.65-0.86; p<0.001) additive model.
Cardiac surgery was associated with a good prognosis when indicated regardless of euroSCORE, and surgery should only be withheld after thorough consideration. EuroSCORE remains a valuable tool to identify high-risk IE patients when surgery is considered.
在原发性心脏瓣膜心内膜炎(NVE)中,手术干预的决策往往很复杂,许多患者要么因考虑到药物治疗是最佳治疗方法,要么因手术风险过高而未进行手术。本研究旨在探讨手术治疗的结果,并验证 euroSCORE 预测 NVE 患者手术死亡率的能力。
前瞻性队列研究纳入 323 例连续 NVE 患者。根据治疗策略以及手术的适应证/禁忌证,将患者分为 3 组。计算了附加的和逻辑的 euroSCORE,并比较了观察死亡率和预测死亡率。
与保守治疗相比,心脏手术与住院期间和 12 个月后的良好预后相关。校正混杂因素后,手术与生存获益相关(风险比(HR)0.45,95%可信区间:0.27-0.76%;p=0.003)。在回归调整中使用倾向评分时,手术后 12 个月的结果仍然更好(HR 0.41,95%可信区间:0.25-0.68;p<0.001)。接受手术治疗的患者的观察死亡率为 11%,而平均逻辑 euroSCORE 死亡率为 16%(无统计学差异)。euroSCORE 的区分能力较好,ROC 曲线下面积为 0.74(95%可信区间:0.64-0.84;p<0.001)逻辑模型和 0.75(95%可信区间:0.65-0.86;p<0.001)附加模型。
在有指征的情况下,心脏手术与良好的预后相关,而在经过彻底考虑后才应避免手术。在考虑手术时,euroSCORE 仍然是识别高危 IE 患者的有用工具。