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模拟玉米储存中印度谷螟(鳞翅目:螟蛾科)种群发展的计算机模型。

A computer model for simulating population development of the Indianmeal moth (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in stored corn.

机构信息

USDA-ARS Center for Grain and Animal Health Research, 1515 College Ave., Manhattan, KS 66502-2736, USA.

出版信息

J Econ Entomol. 2010 Aug;103(4):1503-7. doi: 10.1603/ec09400.

Abstract

The Indianmeal moth, Plodia interpunctella (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae), is a common pest of stored corn, Zea mays L. We developed a computer model to simulate population development of the Indianmeal moth in stored corn by using previously published data describing immature developmental times and survivorship, and adult longevity and fecundity. The model accurately simulated population development of Indianmeal moths in corn stored during fall and into winter of three separate storage seasons in South Carolina. This is the period when the Indianmeal moth is a pest in stored corn in South Carolina. The model predicted that populations would increase after winter as grain temperatures rose, but observed populations in the grain bins never increased after winter. Despite this, the model should be useful from a management perspective because the corn is being sold off or used up after winter, and the observed Indianmeal moth populations never reached damaging levels after winter.

摘要

印度谷螟,Plodia interpunctella(Hübner)(鳞翅目:Pyralidae),是玉米储存过程中的一种常见害虫,Zea mays L。我们开发了一个计算机模型,通过使用先前发表的数据描述幼虫的发育时间和存活率,以及成虫的寿命和繁殖力,来模拟印度谷螟在储存玉米中的种群发育。该模型准确地模拟了南卡罗来纳州三个不同储存季节中秋季和冬季储存玉米中印度谷螟种群的发展。这是印度谷螟在南卡罗来纳州储存玉米中成为害虫的时期。该模型预测,随着谷物温度的升高,冬季后种群数量会增加,但冬季后谷仓中的实际种群数量从未增加。尽管如此,该模型仍具有管理意义,因为冬季后玉米会被售出或用完,而且冬季后观察到的印度谷螟种群从未达到危害水平。

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