Epp Tasha, Argue Connie, Waldner Cheryl, Berke Olaf
Large Animal Clinical Sciences, Western College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Saskatchewan, 52 Campus Drive, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan S7N 5B4.
Can Vet J. 2010 Jul;51(7):743-8.
An outbreak of anthrax in Saskatchewan in 2006 affected more than 800 animals at 150 locations. The purpose of this study was to assess the spatial and temporal patterns among the cases to determine if there were any significant trends associated with this outbreak. Case and population data were first analyzed for each individual farm location and then again as aggregate data per rural municipality using spatial and spatiotemporal statistical methods such as Oden's Ipop, Cuzick-Edwards' test, spatial scan test, and other mapping techniques. East central Saskatchewan was identified as a primary high risk area, particularly during July 2006. The results of the study led to the conclusion that within this high-risk region, flooding in spring followed by hot and dry conditions could have been a factor in the development of the outbreak.
2006年,萨斯喀彻温省爆发炭疽疫情,150个地点的800多头动物受到影响。本研究的目的是评估病例之间的时空模式,以确定此次疫情是否存在任何显著趋势。首先针对每个农场地点分析病例和种群数据,然后使用诸如奥登的Ipop、库齐克 - 爱德华兹检验、空间扫描检验等空间和时空统计方法以及其他制图技术,将其作为每个农村自治市的汇总数据再次进行分析。萨斯喀彻温省中东部地区被确定为主要高风险区域,尤其是在2006年7月期间。研究结果得出结论,在这个高风险区域内,春季洪水后接着出现炎热干燥的天气可能是疫情爆发的一个因素。