[Risk factors predicting late mortality after liver transplantation for benign end-stage liver disease].

OBJECTIVES

To find out the risk factors predicting long-term survival, and to explore the measures for further improving the survival outcome of whom underwent liver transplantation (LT) for benign end-stage liver disease.

METHODS

The common causes of late death after LT and risk factors were retrospectively analyzed in 221 consecutive patients, who underwent LT from October 2003 to June 2007 and survived more than one year. Twenty-six potential risk factors were assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method, and those variables found to be univariately significant at P < 0.10 were entered into a backward step down Cox proportional hazard regression analysis to screen the independent risk factors influencing the recipient's long-term survival.

RESULTS

There were 28 recipients died one year later after LT during the follow-up period. The major causes of late mortality were related to infectious complications 5.0% (11/221), biliary complications 3.6% (8/221) and HBV recurrence/reinfection 1.4% (3/221). After Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, 5 covariables finally retained in the formula were: age (RR = 2.325, P = 0.009), ABO blood group (RR = 2.206, P = 0.015), cold ischemia time (RR = 3.001, P = 0.000), post-infection region (RR = 1.665, P = 0.007) and biliary complications (RR = 2.655, P = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

Age (≥ 60 years), ABO blood group (incompatible), cold ischemia time (> 12 h), infectious complications (lung infection) and biliary complications (diffuse biliary stricture) significantly impact patient's survival time.