Department of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
J Gynecol Oncol. 2010 Dec 30;21(4):241-7. doi: 10.3802/jgo.2010.21.4.241. Epub 2010 Dec 31.
This study was conducted to examine recent trends in ovarian cancer incidence and mortality and secular trends in demographic factors in Korea.
With the data from Korea Central Cancer Registry, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Korean Death Registry, and World Health Organization's Statistical Information System, we calculated age-standardized incidence and mortality rates for ovarian cancer. Also we estimated future incidence of ovarian and cervical cancer using linear regression model. To assess the demographic trend, data from national surveys in Korea or results from published papers were searched.
Ovarian cancer incidence rate was similar to that in women worldwide but lower than those in Western countries, and the trend has been increased steadily. Ovarian cancer-related mortality rates have been increasing in Korea, even though those in western and some Asian countries, such as China, have been decreasing. Age-specific incidence rate and mortality rate showed steep increases with advancing age. The incidence rate of ovarian cancer was estimated to surpass that of uterine cervix cancer in 2015. Korea showed rapid changes in nutritional, reproductive, and anthropometric factors.
These recent trends in ovarian cancer incidence and mortality may be partly attributed to gradual westernizing of life styles and to changes in socio-demographic behavior factors. In particular, the increasing trend in ovarian cancer mortality in Korea may be attributed to a real rise in mortality as well as, in part, a decline in misclassification bias related to an increase in the proportion of deaths confirmed by physician diagnosis.
本研究旨在探讨韩国卵巢癌发病率和死亡率的近期趋势以及人口统计学因素的长期变化趋势。
利用韩国中央癌症登记处、国际癌症研究机构、韩国死亡登记处和世界卫生组织统计信息系统的数据,我们计算了卵巢癌的年龄标准化发病率和死亡率。此外,我们还使用线性回归模型估计了卵巢癌和宫颈癌的未来发病率。为了评估人口统计学趋势,我们搜索了韩国的全国性调查数据或已发表论文的结果。
韩国的卵巢癌发病率与全球女性相似,但低于西方国家,且呈稳步上升趋势。尽管西方国家和一些亚洲国家(如中国)的卵巢癌相关死亡率一直在下降,但韩国的死亡率却在上升。特定年龄的发病率和死亡率随着年龄的增长而急剧上升。预计 2015 年韩国的卵巢癌发病率将超过子宫颈癌。韩国在营养、生殖和人体测量因素方面发生了快速变化。
卵巢癌发病率和死亡率的这些近期趋势可能部分归因于生活方式逐渐西化以及社会人口行为因素的变化。特别是,韩国卵巢癌死亡率的上升趋势可能归因于死亡率的真正上升,以及由于医生诊断确认的死亡比例增加而导致的分类偏倚部分下降。