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观点:PLATO 试验中矛盾的超额死亡率应该被独立验证。

Viewpoint: paradoxical excess mortality in the PLATO trial should be independently verified.

机构信息

HeartDrug™ Research Laboratories, Johns Hopkins University, Towson, MD 21204, USA.

出版信息

Thromb Haemost. 2011 May;105(5):752-9. doi: 10.1160/TH10-12-0807. Epub 2011 Mar 8.

Abstract

The PLATO trial revealed excess all-cause (4.5%) and vascular (4.0%) mortality after experimental pyrimidine, ticagrelor, and even higher death rates (5.9% and 5.1%, respectively) after clopidogrel, which have never been seen in any previous acute coronary syndrome (ACS) trial. The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) conducted, and recently released the ticagrelor review outlining some paradoxical mortality patterns in PLATO, including the existence of alive patient, who initially was reported dead. The drug was recently approved in Europe, but repeatedly delayed in the USA. The objective of this viewpoint article was to evaluate extremely high death rates in PLATO by scrutinising FDA-released evidence, and comparing mortality patterns in recent ACS trials. These data were first presented as the analytical report submitted to the FDA on October 26, 2010. The available evidence suggest that mortality rates in PLATO, so as death benefit of ticagrelor over clopidogrel are extreme, despite incomplete follow-up, short duration of the trial, frequent preloading with clopidogrel, and gross mismatch between conventional average myocardial infarction rates but disproportionally frequent vascular fatalities, and heavily imbalanced sepsis-related deaths. In contrast to the overall PLATO results, the deaths rates in the USA were much lower (3.2% vs. 3.8%) not only favouring clopidogrel, but more importanly matching very well with identical rates in TRITON (3.2%), and one-year ACUITY (3.6%-3.9%) fatalities. Since the «play of chance» cannot explain these discrepancies due to excess death rates in both PLATO arms, and considering that study sponsor self-monitored sites in most countries, but not in the USA, the mortality data are questionable, and should be independently virified. It was concluded that excess mortality rates and delayed timing of the benefit onset in PLATO do not match with any recent ACS trial, and do not look natural. Reevaluation of the survival, especially driven from the several high-volume sponsor monitored sites in Eastern Europe may reveal discrepancies between those reported in PLATO and actual vital records. Future practice of self monitoring in pivotal indication-seeking clinical trials should be completely banned.

摘要

PLATO 试验显示,嘧啶、替格瑞洛的实验性治疗后全因死亡率(4.5%)和血管死亡率(4.0%)升高,而氯吡格雷的死亡率更高(分别为 5.9%和 5.1%),这在之前的任何急性冠脉综合征(ACS)试验中从未见过。美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)进行了,并于最近公布了替格瑞洛的审查,概述了 PLATO 中一些矛盾的死亡率模式,包括最初报告死亡的存活患者的存在。该药物最近在欧洲获得批准,但在美国一再推迟。本文的目的是通过仔细审查 FDA 发布的证据,并比较最近 ACS 试验中的死亡率模式,来评估 PLATO 中极高的死亡率。这些数据最初作为分析报告于 2010 年 10 月 26 日提交给 FDA。现有证据表明,PLATO 中的死亡率极高,替格瑞洛的死亡获益超过氯吡格雷,尽管随访不完整、试验持续时间短、频繁进行氯吡格雷预处理,以及常规平均心肌梗死率的严重不匹配,但血管性致死率不成比例地高,且严重失衡的感染相关死亡率。与总体 PLATO 结果相反,美国的死亡率要低得多(3.2%比 3.8%),不仅有利于氯吡格雷,而且更重要的是与 TRITON(3.2%)和一年期 ACUITY(3.6%-3.9%)的死亡率非常吻合。由于「偶然性」无法解释 PLATO 两个治疗组中过高的死亡率差异,并且考虑到研究赞助商在大多数国家(但不是在美国)自行监测试验点,因此死亡率数据值得怀疑,应该独立验证。研究结论认为,PLATO 中过高的死亡率和获益出现时间延迟与任何最近的 ACS 试验都不匹配,而且看起来不自然。对生存的重新评估,特别是来自东欧几个大容量赞助商监测站点的数据,可能会揭示 PLATO 报告的与实际生命记录之间的差异。在寻求关键指标的临床试验中,自我监测的实践应该被完全禁止。

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