Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Pediatr Blood Cancer. 2011 Sep;57(3):499-505. doi: 10.1002/pbc.23057. Epub 2011 Mar 7.
The HCT-CI helps to predict non-relapse mortality (NRM) and overall survival (OS) in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) recipients. The usefulness of this index in a younger, adolescent and young adult (AYA) population is unclear.
We tested the validity of the HCT-CI as a predictor of mortality in a retrospective cohort of 56 AYA recipients between the ages of 16 and 39, using chart abstraction followed by univariable and multivariate analysis.
Only pulmonary dysfunction (46%), hepatic dysfunction (27%), infection (20%), and psychiatric disturbance (11%) had frequencies greater than 5% in this population. HCT-CI scores of 0-2 were present in 54%, and scores of >3 in 46%. The cumulative incidence of NRM at 2 years was 32%, with an OS of 46%; the NRM and OS for patients with an HCT-CI of 0-2 were 24% and 62%, whereas the NRM and OS for patients with an HCT-CI >3 were 38% and 28%. Patients with pulmonary dysfunction prior to transplant had a 29% OS at 2 years, compared to a 61% OS among patients without (P = 0.001). There was no statistically significant difference for patients and a worse NRM (P = 0.08). In multivariable analysis, both an HCT-CI score of >3 and any pulmonary dysfunction remained associated with OS (P = 0.01, P = 0.03), but neither with NRM.
The HCT-CI appears useful in predicting OS in AYAs, though higher scores may reflect prior treatment, with pulmonary dysfunction particularly prevalent. Prospective studies to further validate and explain these findings are warranted.
HCT-CI 有助于预测异基因造血细胞移植(HCT)受者的非复发死亡率(NRM)和总生存率(OS)。该指数在年轻的青少年和年轻成人(AYA)人群中的有效性尚不清楚。
我们通过图表摘录,进行单变量和多变量分析,在 16 至 39 岁的 56 名 AYA 接受者的回顾性队列中测试了 HCT-CI 作为死亡率预测因子的有效性。
在该人群中,只有肺功能障碍(46%)、肝功能障碍(27%)、感染(20%)和精神障碍(11%)的频率大于 5%。HCT-CI 评分为 0-2 的占 54%,>3 的占 46%。2 年时 NRM 的累积发生率为 32%,OS 为 46%;HCT-CI 评分为 0-2 的患者的 NRM 和 OS 分别为 24%和 62%,而 HCT-CI 评分>3 的患者的 NRM 和 OS 分别为 38%和 28%。移植前存在肺功能障碍的患者 2 年时的 OS 为 29%,而无肺功能障碍的患者的 OS 为 61%(P=0.001)。在统计学上,两组患者的 NRM 没有显著差异(P=0.08)。多变量分析显示,HCT-CI 评分>3 和任何肺功能障碍均与 OS 相关(P=0.01,P=0.03),但与 NRM 无关。
HCT-CI 似乎可用于预测 AYA 的 OS,尽管较高的评分可能反映了先前的治疗,且肺功能障碍尤为普遍。需要进行前瞻性研究以进一步验证和解释这些发现。