Cvrcek Tomas
Clemson University.
J Fam Hist. 2011;36(2):142-58. doi: 10.1177/0363199011398758.
A new estimate of U.S. marital disruptions shows an increase in desertions relative to divorces after 1900. Desertions were the more volatile component of marital disruptions because of their greater responsiveness to general economic conditions. Large marriage cohorts, formed in the years of economic expansion, disrupted in greater numbers: an increase in the marriage rate by 10 per 1,000 unmarried women raised the proportion of disrupted marriage by 7.3 percentage points. Conversely, during years of recession, many poorer couples were discouraged from marriage; smaller marriage cohorts with more resilient marriages were formed and their lifetime marriage disruption rate was lower.
一项对美国婚姻破裂情况的新估计显示，1900年后遗弃现象相对于离婚有所增加。由于遗弃现象对总体经济状况的反应更为敏感，所以它是婚姻破裂中更不稳定的因素。在经济扩张时期形成的大型结婚群体，破裂的数量更多：每1000名未婚女性的结婚率上升10，会使破裂婚姻的比例提高7.3个百分点。相反，在经济衰退时期，许多较贫困的夫妇不愿结婚；形成的结婚群体规模较小，但婚姻更具韧性，其终身婚姻破裂率较低。
