Unit for Coordination of Veterinary Diagnostics, Epidemiology and Risk Analysis, Veterinary and Agrochemical Research Centre, Brussels, Belgium.
Foodborne Pathog Dis. 2011 Aug;8(8):929-34. doi: 10.1089/fpd.2010.0834. Epub 2011 Apr 14.
The aim of this study was to investigate the available results for Belgium of the European Union coordinated monitoring program (2004/665 EC) on Salmonella in layers in 2005, as well as the results of the monthly outbreak reports of Salmonella Enteritidis in humans in 2005 to identify a possible statistical significant trend in both populations.
Separate descriptive statistics and univariate analysis were carried out and the parametric and/or non-parametric hypothesis tests were conducted. A time cluster analysis was performed for all Salmonella Enteritidis phage types (PTs) isolated. The proportions of each Salmonella Enteritidis PT in layers and in humans were compared and the monthly distribution of the most common PT, isolated in both populations, was evaluated.
The time cluster analysis revealed significant clusters during the months May and June for layers and May, July, August, and September for humans. PT21, the most frequently isolated PT in both populations in 2005, seemed to be responsible of these significant clusters. PT4 was the second most frequently isolated PT. No significant difference was found for the monthly trend evolution of both PT in both populations based on parametric and non-parametric methods.
A similar monthly trend of PT distribution in humans and layers during the year 2005 was observed. The time cluster analysis and the statistical significance testing confirmed these results. Moreover, the time cluster analysis showed significant clusters during the summer time and slightly delayed in time (humans after layers). These results suggest a common link between the prevalence of Salmonella Enteritidis in layers and the occurrence of the pathogen in humans. Phage typing was confirmed to be a useful tool for identifying temporal trends.
本研究旨在调查 2005 年欧盟协调监测计划(2004/665EC)在蛋鸡中监测沙门氏菌的比利时结果,以及 2005 年人类感染肠炎沙门氏菌的月度暴发报告结果,以确定这两个群体中是否存在可能具有统计学意义的趋势。
分别进行描述性统计和单变量分析,并进行参数和/或非参数假设检验。对所有分离的肠炎沙门氏菌噬菌体型(PT)进行时间聚类分析。比较了鸡群和人群中每个肠炎沙门氏菌 PT 的比例,并评估了在这两个群体中分离的最常见 PT 的月度分布。
时间聚类分析显示,鸡群在 5 月和 6 月、人群在 5 月、7 月、8 月和 9 月出现了显著的聚类。PT21 是 2005 年在两个群体中分离最多的 PT,似乎是这些显著聚类的原因。PT4 是第二个最常分离的 PT。基于参数和非参数方法,未发现两个群体中这两种 PT 的月度趋势演变有显著差异。
观察到 2005 年人群和鸡群中 PT 分布的相似月度趋势。时间聚类分析和统计显著性检验证实了这些结果。此外,时间聚类分析显示,夏季时间出现了显著的聚类,时间略有延迟(人群滞后于鸡群)。这些结果表明,肠炎沙门氏菌在鸡群中的流行与人类感染该病原体之间存在共同联系。噬菌体分型被证实是识别时间趋势的有用工具。