Department of General Oncology, Centre Oscar Lambret, Regional Comprehensive Cancer Centre, 3, rue F Combemale, 59020, Lille, France.
Br J Cancer. 2011 May 10;104(10):1544-50. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2011.136. Epub 2011 Apr 19.
We investigated prognostic factors (PFs) for 90-day mortality in a large cohort of advanced/metastatic soft tissue sarcoma (STS) patients treated with first-line chemotherapy.
The PFs were identified by both logistic regression analysis and probability tree analysis in patients captured in the Soft Tissue and Bone Sarcoma Group (STBSG) database (3002 patients). Scores derived from the logistic regression analysis and algorithms derived from probability tree analysis were subsequently validated in an independent study cohort from the French Sarcoma Group (FSG) database (404 patients).
The 90-day mortality rate was 8.6 and 4.5% in both cohorts. The logistic regression analysis retained performance status (PS; odds ratio (OR)=3.83 if PS=1, OR=12.00 if PS ≥2), presence of liver metastasis (OR=2.37) and rare site metastasis (OR=2.00) as PFs for early death. The CHAID analysis retained PS as a major discriminator followed by histological grade (only for patients with PS ≥2). In both models, PS was the most powerful PF for 90-day mortality.
Performance status has to be taken into account in the design of further clinical trials and is one of the most important parameters to guide patient management. For those patients with poor PS, expected benefits from therapy should be weighed up carefully against the anticipated toxicities.
我们研究了在接受一线化疗的晚期/转移性软组织肉瘤(STS)患者的大队列中,与 90 天死亡率相关的预后因素(PFs)。
在软组织和骨肉瘤组(STBSG)数据库(3002 例患者)中,通过逻辑回归分析和概率树分析确定 PF。从逻辑回归分析得出的评分和从概率树分析得出的算法随后在法国肉瘤组(FSG)数据库(404 例患者)的独立研究队列中进行了验证。
两个队列的 90 天死亡率分别为 8.6%和 4.5%。逻辑回归分析保留了表现状态(PS;PS=1 的比值比(OR)为 3.83,PS≥2 的 OR 为 12.00)、肝转移(OR=2.37)和罕见部位转移(OR=2.00)作为早期死亡的 PF。CHAID 分析保留了 PS 作为主要判别因素,其次是组织学分级(仅适用于 PS≥2 的患者)。在这两种模型中,PS 是 90 天死亡率的最有力 PF。
PS 必须在进一步临床试验的设计中加以考虑,是指导患者管理的最重要参数之一。对于那些 PS 较差的患者,应仔细权衡治疗的预期益处与预期毒性。