Unit of Pediatric Diabetes, Clinical Nutrition and Obesity, Department of Life and Reproduction Sciences, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.
J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr. 2011 Dec;53(6):590-3. doi: 10.1097/MPG.0b013e31822960be.
The aim of the present study was to build a predictive model of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in obese children. Fifty-six obese 10-year-old children underwent blood tests for biochemical measures and magnetic resonance imaging for NAFLD diagnosis. A model combining waist-to-height ratio, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, adiponectin, and alanine aminotransferase was accurate in predicting NAFLD (AUROC = 0.94 [95% confidence interval 0.89-0.99], P < 10). When adiponectin was not included in the model, the discrimination accuracy was still good (AUROC = 0.88 [95% confidence interval 0.79-0.97], P < 10). In conclusion, a predictive equation combining routinely available variables may allow physicians to identify obese children at the highest risk of NAFLD.
本研究旨在建立肥胖儿童非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)的预测模型。56 名肥胖 10 岁儿童接受了血液生化检测和磁共振成像 NAFLD 诊断。一种结合腰围身高比、胰岛素抵抗稳态模型评估、脂联素和丙氨酸氨基转移酶的模型,能够准确预测 NAFLD(AUROC=0.94[95%置信区间 0.89-0.99],P<0.001)。当模型中不包含脂联素时,其判别准确性仍然较好(AUROC=0.88[95%置信区间 0.79-0.97],P<0.001)。总之,一种结合常规可获得变量的预测方程,可能使医生能够识别出患 NAFLD 风险最高的肥胖儿童。