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移植特异性合并症指数不能预测高危 AML 患者行allo-HSCT 的结局——对该指数局限性的探讨。

The hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index fails to predict outcomes in high-risk AML patients undergoing allogeneic transplantation--investigation of potential limitations of the index.

机构信息

Medical Department I, University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Dresden, Germany.

出版信息

Biol Blood Marrow Transplant. 2011 Dec;17(12):1822-32. doi: 10.1016/j.bbmt.2011.06.009. Epub 2011 Jun 25.

Abstract

In the context of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), comorbidities are an important risk factor. Use of the hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index (HSCT-CI), which was developed and validated in Seattle, Washington, has been proposed to predict the probability of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) and overall survival (OS) following allo-HSCT. We performed a single-center retrospective study to validate the prognostic impact of HSCT-CI on transplant outcomes in a cohort of high-risk acute myeloid leukemia patients undergoing allo-HSCT between January 2000 and December 2008. The median patient age at the time of transplantation was 53 years (range: 11-76 years). The median pretransplantation HSCT-CI score was 4 (range: 0-10). Among 340 patients, OS at 3 years was 29% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 17%-41%), 40% (33%-47%), and 44% (41%-47%) in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk HSCT-CI groups (P = .7), respectively. The corresponding NRM at 3 years was 34% (10%-58%), 32% (20%-44%), and 26% (20%-32%; P = .6). In multivariate analysis, we found no predictive value of HSCT-CI for either OS or NRM. The use of HSCT-CI as a decision-making tool for transplantation eligibility should not be considered until its validity has been unequivocally shown in crossvalidation studies.

摘要

在异基因造血细胞移植(allo-HSCT)的背景下,合并症是一个重要的危险因素。在西雅图开发和验证的造血细胞移植特异性合并症指数(HSCT-CI),已被提议用于预测 allo-HSCT 后非复发死亡率(NRM)和总生存率(OS)的概率。我们进行了一项单中心回顾性研究,以验证 HSCT-CI 在 2000 年 1 月至 2008 年 12 月间接受 allo-HSCT 的高危急性髓系白血病患者队列中对移植结果的预后影响。移植时患者的中位年龄为 53 岁(范围:11-76 岁)。移植前 HSCT-CI 评分的中位数为 4(范围:0-10)。在 340 例患者中,低、中、高危 HSCT-CI 组的 3 年 OS 率分别为 29%(95%置信区间[CI]:17%-41%)、40%(33%-47%)和 44%(41%-47%)(P =.7)。相应的 3 年 NRM 率分别为 34%(10%-58%)、32%(20%-44%)和 26%(20%-32%;P =.6)。在多变量分析中,我们发现 HSCT-CI 对 OS 或 NRM 均无预测价值。在交叉验证研究中明确证明其有效性之前,不应将 HSCT-CI 用作移植资格的决策工具。

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