Delisi Matt, Trulson Chad R, Marquart James W, Drury Alan J, Kosloski Anna E
Iowa State University, Ames.
Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2011 Dec;55(8):1186-207. doi: 10.1177/0306624X11383956.
The importation model is a venerable theoretical explanation for inmate misconduct but it has not been extended in nearly 50 years. The current study advances a life course importation model of inmate behavior where life events in childhood cascade to predict antisocial behavior during adolescence and misconduct occurring during periods of confinement. Based on data from 2,520 institutionalized male delinquents, ordinary least squares, logistic, and negative binomial regression models indicated that family background variables were largely predictive of multiple facets of delinquent careers. Negative binomial regression models of institutional misconduct indicated that proximal delinquent career variables were more consistently associated with misconduct than distal family background factors. Because institutional behavior can be understood as the importing of family deprivation experiences and chronic delinquency, the life course importation model is a useful conceptual framework to study crime over the life course, even including periods of confinement.
进口模型是对囚犯不当行为的一种古老的理论解释，但近50年来一直没有得到扩展。当前的研究提出了一种囚犯行为的生命历程进口模型，其中童年时期的生活事件层层递进，以预测青少年时期的反社会行为以及监禁期间发生的不当行为。基于2520名被监禁男性少年犯的数据，普通最小二乘法、逻辑回归和负二项回归模型表明，家庭背景变量在很大程度上可以预测少年犯罪生涯的多个方面。关于机构不当行为的负二项回归模型表明，近期的少年犯罪生涯变量比远期的家庭背景因素更一致地与不当行为相关。由于机构行为可以被理解为家庭剥夺经历和长期犯罪行为的输入，生命历程进口模型是一个研究整个生命历程中的犯罪行为，甚至包括监禁期间犯罪行为的有用概念框架。
