Spear Robert C, Liang Song
School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
Zhongguo Xue Xi Chong Bing Fang Zhi Za Zhi. 2011 Jun;23(3):231-6.
Over the past years there has been an increasing trend in the application of mathematical models in the studies and control of infectious disease. With development of computing technologies and increasing access to them, it becomes appealing for public health professionals to use mathematical models in their work. In this paper based on our previous experience working on environmental determinants and control of schistosomiasis in the hilly and mountainous regions of Sichuan Province, we introduce principles and basic procedures in building a mathematical model for schistosomiasis transmission; we then illustrate the use of a mathematical model to integrate data from diverse sources and to aid in designing control strategies, assessing progress, and evaluating surveillance programs.
在过去几年中，数学模型在传染病研究和控制中的应用呈上升趋势。随着计算技术的发展以及对其获取的增加，公共卫生专业人员在工作中使用数学模型变得颇具吸引力。在本文中，基于我们先前在四川省丘陵山区开展的关于血吸虫病环境决定因素及控制的工作经验，我们介绍构建血吸虫病传播数学模型的原理和基本程序；然后说明如何使用数学模型整合来自不同来源的数据，并协助设计控制策略、评估进展以及评价监测项目。
