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通过局部交通动力学控制复杂网络上的疫情传播。

Control of epidemic spreading on complex networks by local traffic dynamics.

作者信息

Yang Han-Xin, Wang Wen-Xu, Lai Ying-Cheng, Xie Yan-Bo, Wang Bing-Hong

机构信息

Department of Physics, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350002, China.

出版信息

Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2011 Oct;84(4 Pt 2):045101. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.84.045101. Epub 2011 Oct 4.

Abstract

Despite extensive work on traffic dynamics and epidemic spreading on complex networks, the interplay between these two types of dynamical processes has not received adequate attention. We study the effect of local-routing-based traffic dynamics on epidemic spreading. For the case of unbounded node-delivery capacity, where the traffic is free of congestion, we obtain analytic and numerical results indicating that the epidemic threshold can be maximized by an optimal routing protocol. This means that epidemic spreading can be effectively controlled by local traffic dynamics. For the case of bounded delivery capacity, numerical results and qualitative arguments suggest that traffic congestion can suppress epidemic spreading. Our results provide quantitative insight into the nontrivial role of traffic dynamics associated with a local-routing scheme in the epidemic spreading.

摘要

尽管在复杂网络上对交通动力学和流行病传播进行了广泛研究,但这两种动力学过程之间的相互作用尚未得到充分关注。我们研究基于局部路由的交通动力学对流行病传播的影响。对于无界节点交付能力的情况,即交通没有拥堵,我们获得的分析和数值结果表明,通过最优路由协议可以使流行病阈值最大化。这意味着流行病传播可以通过局部交通动力学有效控制。对于有界交付能力的情况,数值结果和定性论证表明交通拥堵可以抑制流行病传播。我们的结果为与局部路由方案相关的交通动力学在流行病传播中的重要作用提供了定量见解。

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