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血清 IgA 阳性组织转谷氨酰胺酶抗体足以诊断乳糜泻而无需小肠活检吗?乳糜泻的后验概率。

Are positive serum-IgA-tissue-transglutaminase antibodies enough to diagnose coeliac disease without a small bowel biopsy? Post-test probability of coeliac disease.

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology, Hospital Universitari Mutua Terrassa, University of Barcelona, Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas-CIBERehd, Terrassa, Barcelona, Spain.

出版信息

J Crohns Colitis. 2012 Sep;6(8):861-6. doi: 10.1016/j.crohns.2012.01.016. Epub 2012 Feb 15.

DOI:10.1016/j.crohns.2012.01.016
PMID:22398076
Abstract

BACKGROUND

It has been suggested that high titres of tTG are associated with elevated positive predictive values (PPV) for celiac disease. However, the PPV of a strongly positive tTG will depend on the celiac disease prevalence in the different risk groups of the disease

AIMS

To assess the PPV of a strongly positive tTG for celiac disease. In addition, to calculate the post-test probability for celiac disease of a strongly positive tTG in a setting of routine clinical practice.

METHODS

145 consecutive celiac disease patients with positive tTG, and with a small bowel biopsy were included. The PPV for different cut-off points of tTG levels for the diagnosis of celiac disease was assessed. In addition, the cut-offs associated with higher PPV were used to calculate the positive likelihood ratio. A simulation in a setting of routine clinical practice was performed to calculate the post-test probability of celiac disease.

RESULTS

No cut-off level was associated with a PPV of 100%. A cut-off of 80 U/mL (11.4×upper normal limit) was associated with the higher PPV value of 98.6%. In the most frequent clinical situations, which in general have a pre-test probability <10%, the post-test probability after having a strongly positive tTG was 90% or less.

CONCLUSIONS

A strongly positive tTG should not be enough to diagnose celiac disease in the most frequent clinical situations, small bowel biopsy remaining as the gold standard in these cases.

摘要

背景

已有研究表明,抗组织转谷氨酰胺酶(tTG)抗体滴度较高与乳糜泻的阳性预测值(PPV)升高有关。然而,强阳性 tTG 的 PPV 将取决于不同疾病风险组的乳糜泻患病率。

目的

评估强阳性 tTG 对乳糜泻的 PPV。此外,在常规临床实践中计算强阳性 tTG 对乳糜泻的患病后概率。

方法

纳入 145 例 tTG 阳性且小肠活检阳性的乳糜泻患者。评估不同 tTG 水平截断值对乳糜泻诊断的 PPV。此外,使用与较高 PPV 相关的截断值计算阳性似然比。在常规临床实践中进行模拟,以计算乳糜泻的患病后概率。

结果

没有截断值与 100%的 PPV 相关。80 U/mL(正常值上限的 11.4 倍)的截断值与 98.6%的较高 PPV 值相关。在最常见的临床情况下,一般来说,患病前概率<10%,在强阳性 tTG 后患病后概率<90%。

结论

在最常见的临床情况下,强阳性 tTG 不足以诊断乳糜泻,在这些情况下,小肠活检仍然是金标准。

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