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台湾摩托车骑手死亡的风险因素。

Risk factors in motorcyclist fatalities in Taiwan.

机构信息

Department of Civil Engineering, National Chi-Nan University, No. 1, University Road, Puli, NanTou Hsien, Taiwan 545.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2012;13(2):155-62. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2011.641166.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To assess the impact of the following factors on rider fatality: rider's age, gender, licensing status, accident liability, use of helmet, alcohol consumption, vehicle class, road conditions, presence of passengers, and passenger injuries.

METHODS

Data on motorcycle accidents in Taiwan between 2006 and 2008 were analyzed. A logistic regression model was used to establish a fatality risk model for motorcyclists and investigate high-risk factors for motorcyclist fatality.

RESULTS

Higher fatality rates among motorcycle riders correlate with the following factors: male, older, unlicensed, not wearing a helmet, riding after drinking, and driving heavy (i.e., above 550 cc) motorcycles. In addition, motorcyclists involved in nighttime, nonurban single-vehicle accidents have a higher risk of death, and lone riders have a higher risk of death in accidents than do riders carrying passengers. The seriousness of passenger injury also correlates positively with the rider's risk of death.

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly 60 percent of all driving fatalities in Taiwan involve motorcycles. Consideration of factors behind the high frequency and risk of motorcycle deaths, specifically rider age above 60 years, not wearing a motorcycle helmet, riding after drinking, and driving without a valid license, could help in the development of effective traffic safety management measures.

摘要

目的

评估以下因素对骑手死亡的影响:骑手的年龄、性别、驾照状况、事故责任、是否戴头盔、是否饮酒、车辆类型、道路状况、是否有乘客以及乘客受伤情况。

方法

分析了 2006 年至 2008 年台湾的摩托车事故数据。使用逻辑回归模型建立了摩托车手的死亡风险模型,调查了导致摩托车手死亡的高危因素。

结果

更高的摩托车骑手死亡率与以下因素相关:男性、年龄较大、无照驾驶、未戴头盔、酒后驾驶以及驾驶重型(即 550cc 以上)摩托车。此外,夜间、非城市单辆摩托车事故中的骑手死亡风险更高,而单人骑手在事故中的死亡风险高于携带乘客的骑手。乘客受伤的严重程度也与骑手的死亡风险呈正相关。

结论

台湾近 60%的驾驶死亡事故涉及摩托车。考虑到导致摩托车死亡频率和风险高的因素,特别是 60 岁以上的骑手、不戴摩托车头盔、酒后驾驶以及无有效驾照驾驶,有助于制定有效的交通安全管理措施。

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