Department of Urology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX 75390, USA.
BJU Int. 2012 Dec;110(11 Pt C):E1060-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1464-410X.2012.11212.x. Epub 2012 Jun 11.
Study Type--Therapy (cost-effectiveness meeting) Level of Evidence 2b. What's known on the subject? and What does the study add? One of the major problems with nephrolithiasis is the high rate of recurrence, which can effect up to 50% of patients over a 5-year period. Patients with recurrent stones are recommended to increase fluid intake based on prospective studies that show a reduction in recurrence rates in patients who intake a high volume of water. Strategies to reduce stones in recurrent stone formers are quite effective with a >50% risk reduction with increased fluid intake alone. Unfortunately, despite a high societal cost and morbidity, there are no prospective studies evaluating the benefit of fluid intake to prevent stone disease in subjects without a prior history of stone but at risk for stones. The budget impact analyses show that prevention of nephrolithiasis can have a significant cost savings for a payer in a healthcare system and reduce the stone burden significantly. Future studies will need to assess the feasibility and effectiveness of such an approach in a population.
• To evaluate the impact of primary prevention of stones using a strategy of increased fluid intake.
• A Markov model was constructed and analysed using Excel to calculate and compare the costs and outcomes for a virtual cohort of subjects with low vs high water intake. • A literature search was used to formulate assumptions for the model including an annual incidence of urolithiasis of 0.032%, annual risk of stone recurrence of 14.4% and 40% risk reduction in subjects with high water intake. • Costs were based on resource utilisation from the Delphi panel and official price lists in France. • Outcomes were based on payer perspective and included direct and indirect costs and loss of work.
• The base-case analysis found total cost of urolithiasis is €4267 with direct costs of €2767, including cost of treatment and complications. The annual budget impact for stone disease based on 65 million inhabitants is €590 million for the payer. • The use of high water intake by 100% of the population results in annual cost savings of €273 million and 9265 fewer stones. Even if only 25% of the population is compliant, there is still a cost saving of €68 million and 2316 stones. • The model was evaluated to determine the impact of varying the assumptions by ±10%. For example, when the incidence of stone disease is increased or decreased by 10% then the mean (range) baseline cost will change by €59(531-649) million for the payer and savings will either increase or decrease by €27 (246-300) million. • The largest impact on cost savings occurs when varying risk reduction of water by 10% resulting in either a mean (range) increase or decrease by €35 (238-308) million. • Varying cost of stone management by 10% has an impact of ±€17 million. Varying other factors such as stone recurrence by 10% has only an impact of ±€9 million and varying risk of chronic kidney disease ±€1 million, as they affect only a portion of the population.
• The budget impact analyses show that prevention of nephrolithiasis can have a significant cost savings for a payer in a healthcare system and reduce the stone burden significantly. • Future studies will need to assess the feasibility and effectiveness of such an approach in a population.
评估通过增加液体摄入量的策略进行结石一级预防的效果。
使用 Excel 构建并分析了马尔可夫模型,以计算和比较低水摄入和高水摄入虚拟队列受试者的成本和结果。文献检索用于为模型制定假设,包括尿路结石的年发病率为 0.032%,结石复发的年风险为 14.4%,高水摄入者的结石风险降低 40%。成本基于 Delphi 小组的资源利用情况和法国官方价格清单。结果基于支付者的观点,包括直接和间接成本以及工作损失。
基础情况分析发现,尿路结石的总费用为 4267 欧元,直接费用为 2767 欧元,包括治疗和并发症的费用。基于 6500 万居民,支付者的结石病年度预算影响为 5.9 亿欧元。如果 100%的人口增加液体摄入,每年可节省 2.73 亿欧元,结石减少 9265 个。即使只有 25%的人口遵守,仍可节省 6800 万欧元,结石减少 2316 个。通过±10%的范围来评估模型,以确定假设变化的影响。例如,当结石病的发病率增加或减少 10%时,支付者的基线成本平均(范围)将变化 5.9 亿欧元(5.31 亿至 6.49 亿欧元),节省将增加或减少 2.7 亿欧元(2.46 亿至 3.00 亿欧元)。对成本节省影响最大的是液体摄入量的风险降低变化 10%,导致平均(范围)增加或减少 3.5 亿欧元(2.38 亿至 3.08 亿欧元)。结石管理成本变化 10%的影响为±1700 万欧元。其他因素(如结石复发)变化 10%的影响仅为±900 万欧元,慢性肾脏病风险变化±100 万欧元,因为它们仅影响一部分人群。
预算影响分析表明,在医疗保健系统中,预防肾结石可以为支付者节省大量成本,并显著减轻结石负担。未来的研究需要评估在人群中采用这种方法的可行性和有效性。