Duke Clinical Research Institute, PO Box 17969, Durham, NC 27715, USA.
J Clin Oncol. 2012 Aug 1;30(22):2725-30. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2011.40.4392. Epub 2012 Jul 2.
PURPOSE: Previous studies have linked the use of positron emission tomography (PET) with improved outcomes among patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, this association may be confounded by PET-induced stage migration and selection bias. We examined the association between PET use and overall survival among Medicare beneficiaries with NSCLC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Retrospective analysis of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) -Medicare data was used to characterize changes in overall survival, stage-specific survival, and stage distribution among Medicare beneficiaries with NSCLC between 1998 and 2003. RESULTS: A total of 97,007 patients with NSCLC diagnosed between 1998 and 2003 met the study criteria. Two-year and 4-year survival remained unchanged, despite widespread adoption of PET. The proportion of patients staged with advanced disease increased from 44% to 50%. Upstaging of disease was accompanied by stage-specific improved survival, with 2-year survival of stage IV disease increasing from 8% to 11% between 1998 and 2003. PET was more likely to be administered to patients with less advanced disease (stages I through IIIA) and greater overall survival. CONCLUSION: Overall survival among Medicare beneficiaries with NSCLC was unchanged between 1998 and 2003, despite widespread adoption of PET. The association between PET use and increased survival likely reflects an artifact of selection bias and consequent stage migration.
目的:先前的研究表明,正电子发射断层扫描(PET)的使用与非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者的治疗效果改善有关。然而,这种关联可能受到 PET 诱导的分期迁移和选择偏差的影响。我们研究了 PET 使用与 Medicare 受益人群中 NSCLC 患者总生存率之间的关联。
患者和方法:使用监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)-Medicare 数据进行回顾性分析,以描述 Medicare 受益人群中 NSCLC 患者在 1998 年至 2003 年期间总生存率、特定分期生存率和分期分布的变化。
结果:共有 97,007 名 NSCLC 患者在 1998 年至 2003 年间确诊,符合研究标准。尽管 PET 广泛应用,但两年和四年生存率仍保持不变。晚期疾病患者的比例从 44%增加到 50%。疾病分期上调伴随着特定分期的生存率提高,1998 年至 2003 年间,IV 期疾病的两年生存率从 8%增加到 11%。PET 更有可能用于分期较低(I 期至 IIIA 期)和总生存率更高的患者。
结论:尽管 PET 广泛应用,但 Medicare 受益人群中 NSCLC 患者的总生存率在 1998 年至 2003 年间没有变化。PET 使用与生存率提高之间的关联可能反映了选择偏差和随后的分期迁移的人为因素。
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