Comprehensive Transplant Center, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA.
Am J Transplant. 2012 Nov;12(11):2949-57. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-6143.2012.04182.x. Epub 2012 Jul 3.
With the increase in patients having impaired renal function at liver transplant due to MELD, accurate predictors of posttransplant native renal recovery are needed to select candidates for simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation (SLK). Current UNOS guidelines rely on specific clinical criteria for SLK allocation. To examine these guidelines and other variables predicting nonrecovery, we analyzed 155 SLK recipients, focusing on a subset (n = 78) that had post-SLK native GFR (nGFR) determined by radionuclide renal scans. The 77 patients not having renal scans received a higher number of extended criteria donor organs and had worse posttransplant survival. Of the 78 renal scan patients, 31 met and 47 did not meet pre-SLK UNOS criteria. The UNOS criteria were more predictive than our institutional criteria for all nGFR recovery thresholds (20-40 mL/min), although at the most conservative cut-off (nGFR ≤ 20) it had low sensitivity (55.3%), specificity (75%), PPV (67.6%) and NPV (63.8%) for predicting post-SLK nonrecovery. On multivariate analysis, the only predictor of native renal nonrecovery (nGFR ≤ 20) was abnormal pre-SLK renal imaging (OR 3.85, CI 1.22-12.5). Our data support the need to refine SLK selection utilizing more definitive biomarkers and predictors of native renal recovery than current clinical criteria.
由于 MELD 的原因,在肝移植时患有肾功能受损的患者增加,因此需要准确预测移植后原生肾功能的恢复情况,以便为同时进行肝肾移植(SLK)选择候选者。目前 UNOS 指南依赖于 SLK 分配的特定临床标准。为了检查这些指南和其他预测非恢复的变量,我们分析了 155 例 SLK 受者,重点关注一组(n=78)通过放射性核素肾扫描确定的移植后原生肾小球滤过率(nGFR)。没有进行肾扫描的 77 例患者接受了更多的扩展标准供体器官,并且移植后生存情况更差。在 78 例接受肾扫描的患者中,31 例符合和 47 例不符合 SLK 前 UNOS 标准。UNOS 标准比我们的机构标准更能预测所有 nGFR 恢复阈值(20-40ml/min),尽管在最保守的截止值(nGFR≤20)下,其对预测 SLK 后非恢复的敏感性(55.3%)、特异性(75%)、阳性预测值(67.6%)和阴性预测值(63.8%)较低。多变量分析表明,原生肾非恢复(nGFR≤20)的唯一预测因素是术前肾脏影像学异常(OR 3.85,CI 1.22-12.5)。我们的数据支持需要利用比当前临床标准更明确的生物标志物和原生肾恢复预测因素来改进 SLK 选择。