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乳腺癌和非小细胞肺癌的非劣效性试验:非劣效性边界的选择和其他统计方面。

Non-inferiority trials in breast and non-small cell lung cancer: choice of non-inferiority margins and other statistical aspects.

机构信息

Dendrix Research, Sao Paulo, Brazil.

出版信息

Acta Oncol. 2012 Sep;51(7):890-6. doi: 10.3109/0284186X.2012.702924.

DOI:10.3109/0284186X.2012.702924
PMID:22974094
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Determining the non-inferiority margin is an essential step in the design and interpretation of non-inferiority trials, and this margin should be preferably justified on clinical and statistical grounds.

METHODS

After a PubMed search for phase III trials in advanced breast cancer (BC) or non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) published between January 1998 and December 2009 in 11 leading journals, non-inferiority trials were selected by manual search of the full papers.

RESULTS

Twenty-four of 195 trials had a primary non-inferiority hypothesis. When the two six-year study periods were compared, there were time trends within BC and NSCLC, with most non-inferiority trials in BC reported in the first six-year period, and vice-versa for NSCLC. The median sample size was larger for non-inferiority than superiority trials (p < 0.01). The choice of a non-inferiority margin was reportedly justified in only five cases. Non-inferiority trials were more likely than superiority trials to yield positive results (p < 0.001), as were trials in breast cancer (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Non-inferiority margins for cancer trials appear to be chosen mostly on historical grounds. Since nearly three-quarters of non-inferiority trials achieve their primary objective, the extent to which the choice of margins has influence on trial results remains to be determined.

摘要

背景

确定非劣效性边界是设计和解释非劣效性试验的重要步骤,并且最好基于临床和统计学依据来证明该边界的合理性。

方法

在对 11 种主要期刊上发表的 1998 年 1 月至 2009 年 12 月期间的三期乳腺癌(BC)或非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)的文献进行 PubMed 检索后,通过对全文的手动搜索,选择非劣效性试验。

结果

在 195 项试验中,有 24 项具有主要的非劣效性假设。当比较这两个六年研究期时,BC 和 NSCLC 中都存在时间趋势,大多数 BC 的非劣效性试验在前六年报告,而 NSCLC 则相反。非劣效性试验的样本量中位数大于优效性试验(p < 0.01)。仅在 5 例中报告了非劣效性边界的选择是合理的。非劣效性试验比优效性试验更有可能产生阳性结果(p < 0.001),乳腺癌试验也是如此(p = 0.02)。

结论

癌症试验的非劣效性边界似乎主要是基于历史依据选择的。由于近四分之三的非劣效性试验达到了主要目标,因此边界选择对试验结果的影响程度仍有待确定。

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