Van Bodegom David, Eriksson Ulrika K, Houwing-Duistermaat Jeanine J, Westendorp Rudi G J
Leyden Academy on Vitality and Ageing, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Biodemography Soc Biol. 2012;58(2):162-72. doi: 10.1080/19485565.2012.720445.
Child mortality, defined here as mortality under age five, is not evenly distributed but found in clusters. In a contemporary polygamous population in Ghana with extended families, we separate clustering at the parental and household levels, which are often overlapping and inseparable in other historical studies. For eight years, we followed 28,994 individuals, including 9,288 children under the age of five, in 1,703 households. We identified four determinants that had a significant effect on child mortality: sex of the child, age of the child, drinking source, and socioeconomic status. After correcting for these determinants, we still identified significant clustering of child mortality at the level of the village (covariance [cov] = 0.02, p = .04), household (cov = 0.14, p = .003), father (cov = 0.24, p = .001), and mother (cov = 0.18, p = .05). The present data provide clues regarding the levels at which to look for unidentified determinants of child mortality and suggest that the importance of the father could be larger than previously thought.
儿童死亡率(本文定义为五岁以下儿童的死亡率)并非均匀分布,而是呈聚集状态。在加纳一个当代实行一夫多妻制且有大家庭的人群中,我们区分了父母层面和家庭层面的聚集情况,而在其他历史研究中,这两个层面往往相互重叠且难以区分。八年来,我们跟踪了1703个家庭中的28994个人,其中包括9288名五岁以下儿童。我们确定了对儿童死亡率有显著影响的四个决定因素:孩子的性别、孩子的年龄、饮用水源和社会经济地位。在对这些决定因素进行校正后,我们仍然发现村庄层面(协方差[cov]=0.02,p=0.04)、家庭层面(cov=0.14,p=0.003)、父亲层面(cov=0.24,p=0.001)和母亲层面(cov=0.18,p=0.05)存在儿童死亡率的显著聚集。目前的数据为寻找儿童死亡率未明决定因素的层面提供了线索,并表明父亲的重要性可能比之前认为的更大。