Can we predict first-time failure on the podiatric boards using an admission screen?

BACKGROUND

This study examined the success of an admission screen in identifying applicants who will fail Part I or Part II of the Podiatric Boards on the first attempt.

METHODS

A logistic regression model was used to predict failure on the Podiatric Boards.

RESULTS

The biology Medical College Admission Test (MCAT) score predicted failure on Part I and Part II. Adding undergraduate grade point average and the other MCAT subscores did not significantly improve the prediction. Although a screen based on the biology MCAT score can identify nearly 90% of those who fail, there are six false-positives for every true-positive.

CONCLUSIONS

First-time Board failure can be predicted, but Board failure must be primarily addressed by interventions after matriculation rather than by an admission screen.