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CURB-65 作为内科患者的初始预后评分。

CURB-65 as an initial prognostic score in Internal Medicine patients.

机构信息

Infectious Disease Unit, Service of Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Marqués de Valdecilla, Santander, Spain.

出版信息

Eur J Intern Med. 2013 Jul;24(5):416-9. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2013.01.004. Epub 2013 Feb 4.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

There are few validated tools to assess severity in patients admitted to an Internal Medicine service. The aim of this study was to evaluate if CURB-65 score, previously validated as mortality index in community acquired pneumonia, could also be used in those patients.

METHODS

We analyzed prospectively all patients admitted to Hospital Sierrallana (Spain) from 1 March to 31 October 2010. Variables of the CURB-65 score (confusion, serum urea>7mmol/L (42mg/dl), respiratory rate≥30/min, systolic blood pressure<90mmHg and/or diastolic blood pressure≤60mmHg, and age≥65) and other clinical and epidemiological data and laboratory findings were recorded. Charlson comorbidity index was also estimated. Prognostic variables were identified using multiple logistic regression with 30days mortality as the outcome measure.

RESULTS

539 patients were studied (51% males; mean age: 78±14years; mortality 12%). A high CURB-65 score was a significant predictor of 30day mortality (p<0.001). Eighty-six percent of the patients who died had high CURB-65 score at admission, and none of them had low score. Sensitivity and specificity for high CURB-65 score were 86% and 70%, respectively, and negative predictive value was 97%. Receiver-operator characteristic curve showed an area under curve of 0.79 for CURB 65-score. Charlson index also correlated with mortality, but its performance was worse than that of CURB-65.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that CURB-65 score may be a simple and useful tool to help clinicians in establishing the prognosis of patients admitted to general Internal Medicine wards.

摘要

背景

目前用于评估内科患者严重程度的有效工具较少。本研究旨在评估 CURB-65 评分(先前已被验证为社区获得性肺炎的死亡率指数)是否也可用于此类患者。

方法

我们前瞻性分析了 2010 年 3 月 1 日至 10 月 31 日期间入住西班牙 Sierrallana 医院的所有患者。记录 CURB-65 评分(意识障碍、血清尿素>7mmol/L(42mg/dl)、呼吸频率≥30/分钟、收缩压<90mmHg 和/或舒张压≤60mmHg、年龄≥65 岁)的变量以及其他临床和流行病学数据和实验室检查结果。还估计了 Charlson 合并症指数。使用多变量逻辑回归分析预后变量,以 30 天死亡率作为终点。

结果

共研究了 539 例患者(男性占 51%;平均年龄:78±14 岁;死亡率 12%)。高 CURB-65 评分是 30 天死亡率的显著预测因素(p<0.001)。死亡患者中 86%入院时 CURB-65 评分较高,且无患者评分较低。高 CURB-65 评分的敏感性和特异性分别为 86%和 70%,阴性预测值为 97%。ROC 曲线显示 CURB-65 评分的曲线下面积为 0.79。Charlson 指数也与死亡率相关,但表现不如 CURB-65。

结论

我们的研究结果表明,CURB-65 评分可能是一种简单且有用的工具,可帮助内科住院医师评估患者的预后。

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