The George Washington University School of Public Health and Health Services, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, 2100 West Pennsylvania Avenue, NW, 8th Floor, Washington, DC 20037, USA.
Cancer Epidemiol. 2013 Jun;37(3):247-54. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2013.01.002. Epub 2013 Feb 12.
The epidemiology of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) in low and middle income countries is limited. As a result, we analyzed a contemporary cohort of patients from low and middle income countries treated with Imatinib through The Glivec(®) International Patient Assistance Program (GIPAP).
Generalized estimating equations (GEE) and Kaplan-Meier estimation were utilized to test for regional variations in age at diagnosis and overall survival among 33,985 patients from 94 countries.
Patients participated from Asia (79.2%), Africa (9.4%), Latin America (8.7%) and Southern/Eastern Europe (2.5%). Sixty-one (61.2%) percent were male. Mean age at diagnosis was 38.5 years (9.4% <20 years and only 4.7% ≥65 years). Using GEE, Asians were youngest (38.3 years), followed by Africans (39.5 years), Southern/Eastern Europeans (41.1 years) and Latin Americans (41.3 years; p < 0.0001). Diagnoses were predominately in chronic stage (78.3%). In 2002, 85.2% of patients had a delay in treatment >1 year; decreasing to 15.5% in 2010 (p < 0.0001). The 3-year overall survival probability was 89.4% (95% CI, 88.9-89.9). In multivariate analysis, risk of death increased among patients 65 years or older at diagnosis (p < 0.0001), time from diagnosis to treatment >1-year (p < 0.0001), diagnoses in the accelerated or blast crisis (p < 0.0001), initial dose of Imatinib >400 mg (p < 0.0001) and among Latin Americans and Africans (p < 0.0001).
The GIPAP cohort is the largest series of patients with CML described from low and middle income countries. Differences in age at diagnosis and overall survival exist within and between regions. Additional epidemiological studies should be conducted to assess for possible environmental factors associated with the earlier age at onset.
在中低收入国家,慢性髓性白血病(CML)的流行病学情况有限。因此,我们通过格列卫(®)国际患者援助计划(GIPAP)分析了来自中低收入国家的接受伊马替尼治疗的当代患者队列。
利用广义估计方程(GEE)和 Kaplan-Meier 估计方法,对来自 94 个国家的 33985 名患者的诊断时年龄和总生存率进行区域差异检验。
患者来自亚洲(79.2%)、非洲(9.4%)、拉丁美洲(8.7%)和南欧/东欧(2.5%)。61%(61.2%)为男性。平均诊断年龄为 38.5 岁(9.4%<20 岁,只有 4.7%≥65 岁)。使用 GEE,亚洲人最年轻(38.3 岁),其次是非洲人(39.5 岁)、南欧/东欧人(41.1 岁)和拉丁美洲人(41.3 岁;p<0.0001)。诊断主要处于慢性期(78.3%)。2002 年,85.2%的患者治疗延迟超过 1 年;2010 年降至 15.5%(p<0.0001)。3 年总生存率为 89.4%(95%CI,88.9-89.9)。多变量分析显示,诊断时年龄在 65 岁或以上的患者(p<0.0001)、从诊断到治疗的时间超过 1 年(p<0.0001)、加速期或急变期诊断(p<0.0001)、伊马替尼初始剂量>400mg(p<0.0001)以及拉丁美洲人和非洲人(p<0.0001)死亡风险增加。
GIPAP 队列是描述中低收入国家 CML 患者的最大系列。不同地区和地区内部存在诊断时年龄和总生存率的差异。应开展更多的流行病学研究,以评估与发病年龄较早相关的可能环境因素。