The Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, 51 Little France Crescent, Edinburgh, Scotland, United Kingdom EH16 4SA.
J Crit Care. 2013 Oct;28(5):832-7. doi: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2013.02.004. Epub 2013 Apr 16.
Septic patients with hyperlactatemia have increased mortality rates, irrespective of hemodynamic and oxygen-derived variables. The aims of the study are the following: (1) to ascertain whether lactate clearance (LC) (percentage change in lactate over unit time) predicts mortality in septic patients admitted to intensive care directly from the emergency department and (2) to calculate the optimal "cut-off" value for mortality prediction.
Three-year retrospective observational study of consecutive patients with severe sepsis and septic shock admitted to intensive care from the emergency department of a tertiary UK hospital. We calculated 6-hour LC, performed receiver operating characteristic analyses to calculate optimal cut-off values for initial lactate and LC, dichotomized patients according to the LC cut-off, and calculated hazard ratios using a Cox proportional hazards model.
One hundred six patients were identified; 78, after exclusions. Lactate clearance was independently associated with 30-day mortality (P<.04); optimal cut-off, 36%. Mortality rates were 61.1% and 10.7% for patients with 6-hour LC 36% or less and greater than 36%, respectively. Hazard ratio for death with LC 36% or less was 7.33 (95% confidence interval, 2.17-24.73; P<.001).
Six-hour LC was independently associated with mortality, and the optimal cut-off value was 36%, significantly higher than previously reported. We would support further research investigating this higher LC as a distinct resuscitation end point in patients with severe sepsis and septic shock.
无论血流动力学和氧衍生变量如何,乳酸血症的脓毒症患者的死亡率都较高。本研究的目的如下:(1)确定乳酸清除率(LC)(单位时间内乳酸的百分比变化)是否可预测直接从急诊部门入住重症监护病房的脓毒症患者的死亡率;(2)计算死亡率预测的最佳“截断值”。
对英国一家三级医院急诊部门收治的重症脓毒症和脓毒性休克的连续患者进行了为期 3 年的回顾性观察性研究。我们计算了 6 小时 LC,进行了接收者操作特征分析以计算初始乳酸和 LC 的最佳截断值,根据 LC 截断值将患者分为两类,并使用 Cox 比例风险模型计算危险比。
确定了 106 例患者;排除后为 78 例。乳酸清除率与 30 天死亡率独立相关(P<.04);最佳截断值为 36%。6 小时 LC 小于或等于 36%和大于 36%的患者 30 天死亡率分别为 61.1%和 10.7%。LC 小于或等于 36%的死亡风险比为 7.33(95%置信区间,2.17-24.73;P<.001)。
6 小时 LC 与死亡率独立相关,最佳截断值为 36%,明显高于以往报道。我们将支持进一步研究,探讨严重脓毒症和脓毒性休克患者中这种更高的 LC 作为不同的复苏终点。