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Demography. 2013 Oct;50(5):1739-64. doi: 10.1007/s13524-013-0202-8.
We investigate factors affecting women's decisions to terminate pregnancies in Matlab, Bangladesh, using logistic regression on high-quality data from the Demographic Surveillance System on more than 215,000 pregnancies that occurred between 1978 and 2008. Variables associated with the desire not to have another birth soon (very young and older maternal age, a greater number of living children, the recent birth of twins or of a son, a short interval since a recent live birth) are associated with a greater likelihood of pregnancy termination, and the effects of many of these explanatory variables are stronger in more recent years. Women are less likely to terminate a pregnancy if they don't have any living sons or recently experienced a miscarriage, a stillbirth, or the death of a child. The higher the woman's level of education, the more likely she is to terminate a pregnancy. Between 1982 and the mid-2000s, pregnancy termination was significantly less likely in the area of Matlab with better family planning services.
我们利用孟加拉国 Matlab 地区的人口监测系统在 1978 年至 2008 年间收集的超过 215000 例妊娠的高质量数据,采用逻辑回归方法研究了影响妇女终止妊娠决定的因素。与近期不希望再次生育(母亲年龄较小或较大、有较多存活子女、最近生了双胞胎或儿子、最近一次活产时间较短)相关的变量与妊娠终止的可能性增加相关,而且这些解释变量中的许多效应在近年来更为明显。如果妇女没有任何存活的儿子,或者最近经历了流产、死产或子女死亡,那么她终止妊娠的可能性就较小。妇女的受教育程度越高,她终止妊娠的可能性就越大。在 1982 年至 2000 年代中期,在计划生育服务更好的 Matlab 地区,终止妊娠的可能性明显降低。