Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Cancer Epidemiol. 2013 Oct;37(5):562-8. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2013.06.002. Epub 2013 Jul 3.
Prostate cancer (PC) survivors may have an increased risk of new primary cancers (NPCs) due to shared risk factors or PC-directed treatments.
Using Danish registries, we conducted a cohort study of men with (n=30,220) and without PC (n=151,100) (comparators), matched 1:5 on age and PC diagnosis/index date. We computed incidence rates of NPCs per 10,000 person years (PY) and associated 95% confidence intervals (CI), and used Cox proportional hazards regression to compute hazard ratios (HRs) and 95%CI, adjusting for comorbidities. In order to obviate any impact of shorter survival among prostate cancer patients, we censored comparator patients when the matched prostate cancer patient died or was censored.
Follow-up spanned 113,487PY and 462,982PY in the PC and comparison cohorts, respectively. 65% of the cohorts were aged >70 years at diagnosis. Among PC patients, 51% had distant/unspecified stage, and 63% had surgery as primary treatment. The PC cohort had lower incidence of NPCs than their comparators. The adjusted HR of NPC among men with PC versus the comparators was 0.84 (95%CI=0.80, 0.88). Lowest HRs were among older men, those with distant stage, and were particularly evident for cancers of the brain, liver, pancreas, respiratory, upper gastrointestinal, and urinary systems.
We find no evidence of an increased risk of NPCs among men with PC. The deficit of NPCs among men with PC may be a true effect but is more likely due to lower levels of risk factors (e.g., smoking) in PC patients versus comparators, clinical consideration of cancers at new organs as metastases rather than new primaries, or under-recording/under-reporting of NPCs among PC patients.
由于共同的风险因素或前列腺癌定向治疗,前列腺癌(PC)幸存者可能有新原发癌症(NPC)的风险增加。
我们使用丹麦登记处,对有(n=30220)和没有 PC(n=151100)的男性(对照)进行了队列研究,按年龄和 PC 诊断/索引日期进行 1:5 匹配。我们计算了 NPC 的发病率,每 10000 人年(PY)和相关 95%置信区间(CI),并使用 Cox 比例风险回归计算危险比(HR)和 95%CI,调整了合并症。为了避免前列腺癌患者生存时间较短的任何影响,当匹配的前列腺癌患者死亡或被删失时,我们对对照患者进行了删失。
在 PC 和对照组中,随访时间分别为 113487PY 和 462982PY。65%的队列在诊断时年龄>70 岁。在 PC 患者中,51%为远处/未特指期,63%的患者接受手术作为主要治疗。PC 队列 NPC 的发病率低于对照。与对照相比,PC 患者的 NPC 调整 HR 为 0.84(95%CI=0.80,0.88)。HR 最低的是年龄较大的男性、远处分期的男性,特别是大脑、肝脏、胰腺、呼吸系统、上消化道和泌尿系统的癌症。
我们没有发现 PC 患者 NPC 风险增加的证据。PC 患者 NPC 不足可能是一个真实的效应,但更可能是由于 PC 患者与对照相比,危险因素(如吸烟)水平较低,将新器官的癌症视为转移而不是新原发,或 PC 患者 NPC 的记录/报告不足。