Petronis K R, Samuels J F, Moscicki E K, Anthony J C
Department of Mental Hygiene, Johns Hopkins School of Hygiene and Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.
Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 1990 Jul;25(4):193-9. doi: 10.1007/BF00782961.
This is a report of new research on suicide attempts, based on an analysis of data from the Epidemiologic Catchment Area surveys in the United States. Risk of making a suicide attempt during a 1-2 year observation interval in the early 1980s was estimated in relation to selected personal and behavioral attributes of 13,673 study participants who completed baseline and follow-up interviews for these surveys. Being an active case of Major Depression was associated with increased risk of suicide attempt (estimated relative odds, RO = 41; 95% CL = 6.46-262), as was active alcoholism (RO = 18; 95% CL = 2.75-118) and being separated or divorced (RO = 11; 95% CL = 1.64-77). Being a user of cocaine was associated with increased risk of making a suicide attempt (RO = 62; 95% CL = 2.51-1528), but illicit use of marijuana, sedative-hypnotics, or sympathomimetic stimulants was not (P greater than 0.30). Educational achievement was inversely associated with risk of suicide attempt at a marginal level of statistical significance (P = 0.068). These multivariable conditional logistic regression results were obtained by applying a conventional epidemiologic strategy with post-stratification of subjects into homogeneous risk sets. Limitations of the study data and the analytic strategy are discussed in relation to directions for future epidemiologic field surveys.
这是一篇基于对美国流行病学集水区调查数据的分析而得出的关于自杀未遂的新研究报告。通过对13673名完成了这些调查基线和随访访谈的研究参与者的选定个人和行为特征进行分析,估算了20世纪80年代初在1至2年观察期内自杀未遂的风险。患有重度抑郁症的现患病例与自杀未遂风险增加相关(估计相对比值,RO = 41;95%可信区间 = 6.46 - 262),酗酒现患病例也是如此(RO = 18;95%可信区间 = 2.75 - 118),分居或离婚者同样如此(RO = 11;95%可信区间 = 1.64 - 77)。使用可卡因与自杀未遂风险增加相关(RO = 62;95%可信区间 = 2.51 - 1528),但非法使用大麻、镇静催眠药或拟交感神经兴奋剂则不然(P大于0.30)。教育成就与自杀未遂风险呈负相关,在统计学显著性的边际水平上(P = 0.068)。这些多变量条件逻辑回归结果是通过应用传统流行病学策略并将受试者后分层为同质风险集而获得的。结合未来流行病学现场调查的方向,讨论了研究数据和分析策略的局限性。