Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2014 Feb;21(3):2064-76. doi: 10.1007/s11356-013-2116-9.
In order to perform a study of the carcinogenic potential of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH), benzo(a)pyrene equivalent (BaP-eq) concentration was calculated and modelled by a receptor model based on positive matrix factorization (PMF). Nineteen PAH associated to airborne PM10 of Zaragoza, Spain, were quantified during the sampling period 2001-2009 and used as potential variables by the PMF model. Afterwards, multiple linear regression analysis was used to quantify the potential sources of BaP-eq. Five sources were obtained as the optimal solution and vehicular emission was identified as the main carcinogenic source (35 %) followed by heavy-duty vehicles (28 %), light-oil combustion (18 %), natural gas (10 %) and coal combustion (9 %). Two of the most prevailing directions contributing to this carcinogenic character were the NE and N directions associated with a highway, industrial parks and a paper factory. The lifetime lung cancer risk exceeded the unit risk of 8.7 x 10(-5) per ng/m(3) BaP in both winter and autumn seasons and the most contributing source was the vehicular emission factor becoming an important issue in control strategies.
为了研究多环芳烃(PAH)的致癌潜力,采用基于正矩阵因子化(PMF)的受体模型计算并模拟了苯并(a)芘等效浓度(BaP-eq)。在 2001-2009 年的采样期间,定量了与西班牙萨拉戈萨市空气中 PM10 相关的 19 种多环芳烃,并将其作为 PMF 模型的潜在变量。之后,采用多元线性回归分析来量化 BaP-eq 的潜在来源。得到了 5 个最佳解决方案,其中车辆排放被确定为主要致癌源(35%),其次是重型车辆(28%)、轻质油燃烧(18%)、天然气(10%)和煤炭燃烧(9%)。对这种致癌特性贡献最大的两个方向是与高速公路、工业园区和造纸厂相关的东北和北方向。在冬季和秋季,终生肺癌风险均超过了每 ng/m(3) BaP 为 8.7 x 10(-5)的单位风险,其中贡献最大的来源是车辆排放因子,这成为控制策略中的一个重要问题。