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20 世纪初不同致死率的麻疹疫情。

Measles epidemics of variable lethality in the early 20th century.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2014 Feb 15;179(4):413-22. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwt282. Epub 2013 Nov 26.

Abstract

Until the mid-20th century, mortality rates were often very high during measles epidemics, particularly among previously isolated populations (e.g., islanders), refugees/internees who were forcibly crowded into camps, and military recruits. Searching for insights regarding measles mortality rates, we reviewed historical records of measles epidemics on the Polynesian island of Rotuma (in 1911), in Boer War concentration camps (in 1900-1902), and in US Army mobilization camps during the First World War (in 1917-1918). Records classified measles deaths by date and clinical causes; by demographic characteristics, family relationships (for Rotuma islanders and Boer camp internees), and prior residences; and by camp (for Boer internees and US Army recruits). During the Rotuman and Boer War epidemics, measles-related mortality rates were high (up to 40%); however, mortality rates differed more than 10-fold across camps/districts, even though conditions were similar. During measles epidemics, most deaths among camp internees/military recruits were due to secondary bacterial pneumonias; in contrast, most deaths among Rotuman islanders were due to gastrointestinal complications. The clinical expressions, courses, and outcomes of measles during first-contact epidemics differ from those during camp epidemics. The degree of isolation from respiratory pathogens other than measles may significantly determine measles-related mortality risk.

摘要

直到 20 世纪中叶,麻疹疫情期间的死亡率通常很高,尤其是在以前与世隔绝的人群中(例如岛民)、被迫挤在难民营中的难民/被拘留者以及新兵中。为了寻找关于麻疹死亡率的见解,我们回顾了罗图马岛(1911 年)、布尔战争难民营(1900-1902 年)和美国第一次世界大战陆军动员营(1917-1918 年)麻疹疫情的历史记录。记录按日期和临床病因、人口统计学特征、家庭关系(罗图马岛民和布尔营被拘留者)和以前的住所以及营地(布尔营被拘留者和美国陆军新兵)对麻疹死亡进行分类。在罗图马和布尔战争疫情中,麻疹相关死亡率很高(高达 40%);然而,即使条件相似,不同营地/地区的死亡率差异超过 10 倍。在麻疹疫情期间,营内被拘留者/新兵的大多数死亡是由继发性细菌性肺炎引起的;相比之下,罗图马岛民的大多数死亡是由于胃肠道并发症。初次接触疫情期间麻疹的临床表现、病程和结果与营地疫情不同。与麻疹以外的呼吸道病原体的隔离程度可能会显著决定麻疹相关的死亡风险。

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