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院前心率和血压增加格拉斯哥昏迷量表对高死亡率创伤性脑损伤的阳性预测值。

Prehospital heart rate and blood pressure increase the positive predictive value of the Glasgow Coma Scale for high-mortality traumatic brain injury.

机构信息

1 Biotechnology High Performance Computing Software Applications Institute, Telemedicine and Advanced Technology Research Center , U.S. Army Medical Research and Materiel Command, Ft. Detrick, Maryland.

出版信息

J Neurotrauma. 2014 May 15;31(10):906-13. doi: 10.1089/neu.2013.3128. Epub 2014 Mar 6.

Abstract

We hypothesized that vital signs could be used to improve the association between a trauma patient's prehospital Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score and his or her clinical condition. Previously, abnormally low and high blood pressures have both been associated with higher mortality for patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI). We undertook a retrospective analysis of 1384 adult prehospital trauma patients. Vital-sign data were electronically archived and analyzed. We examined the relative risk of severe head Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) 5-6 as a function of the GCS, systolic blood pressure (SBP), heart rate (HR), and respiratory rate (RR). We created multi-variate logistic regression models and, using DeLong's test, compared their area under receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC AUCs) for three outcomes: head AIS 5-6, all-cause mortality, and either head AIS 5-6 or neurosurgical procedure. We found significant bimodal relationships between head AIS 5-6 versus SBP and HR, but not RR. When the GCS was <15, ROC AUCs were significantly higher for a multi-variate regression model (GCS, SBP, and HR) versus GCS alone. In particular, patients with abnormalities in all parameters (GCS, SBP, and HR) were significantly more likely to have high-mortality TBI versus those with abnormalities in GCS alone. This could be useful for mobilizing resources (e.g., neurosurgeons and operating rooms at the receiving hospital) and might enable new prehospital management protocols where therapies are selected based on TBI mortality risk.

摘要

我们假设生命体征可以用来提高创伤患者院前格拉斯哥昏迷评分(GCS)与临床状况之间的关联。此前,异常低血压和高血压均与创伤性脑损伤(TBI)患者死亡率升高有关。我们对 1384 名成年院前创伤患者进行了回顾性分析。生命体征数据被电子存档并进行了分析。我们研究了严重头部损伤严重程度评分(AIS)5-6 的相对风险与 GCS、收缩压(SBP)、心率(HR)和呼吸频率(RR)的关系。我们创建了多变量逻辑回归模型,并使用 DeLong 检验比较了它们在三个结果(头部 AIS 5-6、全因死亡率以及头部 AIS 5-6 或神经外科手术)的受试者工作特征曲线(ROC AUC)下面积。我们发现头部 AIS 5-6 与 SBP 和 HR 之间存在显著的双峰关系,但与 RR 无关。当 GCS<15 时,与 GCS 单独相比,多变量回归模型(GCS、SBP 和 HR)的 ROC AUC 显著更高。特别是,与 GCS 异常的患者相比,所有参数(GCS、SBP 和 HR)异常的患者发生高死亡率 TBI 的可能性显著更高。这对于调动资源(例如,接收医院的神经外科医生和手术室)可能很有用,并且可能允许根据 TBI 死亡率风险选择治疗方法的新的院前管理方案。

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