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患者评估的心脏再同步治疗短期阳性反应是长期死亡率的独立预测因素。

Patient-assessed short-term positive response to cardiac resynchronization therapy is an independent predictor of long-term mortality.

作者信息

Reitan Christian, Bakos Zoltan, Platonov Pyotr G, Höijer Carl-Johan, Brandt Johan, Wang Lingwei, Borgquist Rasmus

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Arrhythmia Clinic, Lund University, Skane University Hospital, Getingevägen, Lund S-221 85, Sweden.

Department of Cardiology, Arrhythmia Clinic, Lund University, Skane University Hospital, Getingevägen, Lund S-221 85, Sweden

出版信息

Europace. 2014 Nov;16(11):1603-9. doi: 10.1093/europace/euu058. Epub 2014 Mar 28.

Abstract

AIMS

Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) has a well-documented positive effect on mortality and heart failure morbidity. The aim of this study was to assess the long-term survival and the predictive value of self-assessed functional status on the long-term prognosis of patients treated with CRT-pacemaker (CRT-P).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data were retrospectively collected from medical records of 446 consecutive patients implanted with CRT-P at a large-volume Swedish tertiary care centre. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality, predictive variables were assessed by log-rank test and univariate cox regression. Three hundred and nine patients had reliable information available on early improvement after implantation and were included in the multivariate analyses. The cohort was followed for a median of 79 months and was similar in baseline characteristics compared with major controlled trials. During follow-up 204 patients died, yearly mortality was 11.7%. Early improvement of self-assessed functional status was a strong independent predictor of survival [hazard ratio, HR 0.59, confidence interval (CI) 0.40-0.87, P = 0.007], together with well-known predictors; NYHA III-IV vs I-II (HR 1.66, CI 1.09-2.536, P = 0.018), age (HR 1.05, CI 1.03-1.08, P < 0.001), male gender (HR 2.0, CI 1.11-3.45, P = 0.021), and loop diuretic use (HR 4.41, CI 1.08-18.02). Patients with early improvement of self-assessed functional status had better 2-year and 5-year survival (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Real-life patient characteristics and predictors of outcome compare well with those in published prospective trials. Self-assessed functional status is a strong predictor of long-term survival, which may have implications for a more active follow-up of patients without spontaneous improvement.

摘要

目的

心脏再同步治疗(CRT)对死亡率和心力衰竭发病率具有已充分证明的积极作用。本研究的目的是评估长期生存率以及自我评估的功能状态对接受CRT起搏器(CRT-P)治疗患者长期预后的预测价值。

方法和结果

回顾性收集了瑞典一家大型三级医疗中心连续446例植入CRT-P患者的病历资料。主要结局为全因死亡率,通过对数秩检验和单变量Cox回归评估预测变量。309例患者有植入后早期改善的可靠信息,并纳入多变量分析。该队列的中位随访时间为79个月,与主要对照试验相比,基线特征相似。随访期间,204例患者死亡,年死亡率为11.7%。自我评估功能状态的早期改善是生存的有力独立预测因素[风险比,HR 0.59,置信区间(CI)0.40-0.87,P = 0.007],与已知预测因素一起;纽约心脏协会(NYHA)III-IV级与I-II级(HR 1.66,CI 1.09-2.536,P = 0.018)、年龄(HR 1.05,CI 1.03-1.08,P < 0.001)、男性(HR 2.0,CI 1.11-3.45,P = 0.021)和使用袢利尿剂(HR 4.41,CI 1.08-18.02)。自我评估功能状态早期改善的患者2年和5年生存率更高(P < 0.001)。

结论

实际患者特征和结局预测因素与已发表的前瞻性试验中的情况比较相符。自我评估的功能状态是长期生存的有力预测因素,这可能对未自发改善的患者进行更积极的随访具有意义。

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