Clare Philip, Bradford Deborah, Courtney Ryan J, Martire Kristy, Mattick Richard P
National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of NSW, Sydney, Australia.
School of Psychology, University of NSW, Sydney, Australia.
Tob Control. 2014 Nov;23(e2):e133-8. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2013-051436. Epub 2014 Apr 4.
This paper used national survey data to investigate 'hardcore' smoking as predicted by the 'hardening hypothesis', and to examine the relationship between 'hardcore' smoking and socioeconomic status (SES).
Analyses were performed using data from four waves of the Australian National Drug Strategy Household Survey between 2001 and 2010, a large national survey with a sample size of approximately 24,000 participants per wave. The primary outcome variable was 'hardcore' smoking, comprised of the variables: 'no quit attempt in past 12 months'; 'no plan to quit'; and smoking more than 15 cigarettes per day. The main predictor variables used were SES assessed by the Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA), and survey wave. Other sociodemographic variables were also examined.
Overall, 'hardcore' smoking remained stable from 2001 to 2010. However, 'hardcore' smoking declined among high-SES smokers (from 1.8% to 1.0%), but not among low-SES smokers (around 3.4%). 'Hardcore' smoking was strongly associated with SEIFA quintile (p<0.001). There was a significant interaction effect between top and bottom SEIFA quintiles and wave (p=0.025), with a decline in 'hardcore' smoking measures over the four waves among those in the top two SEIFA quintiles, with odds in 2010 of 0.39 (95% CI 0.17 to 0.87; p=0.012), down from 0.64 (95% CI 0.50 to 0.82; p<0.001) in 2001, while 'hardcore' smoking remained stable among those in the bottom two SEIFA quintiles.
The results from high SES smokers suggest 'hardcore' smokers are able to quit, but outcomes among low-SES smokers are less encouraging.
本文利用全国性调查数据,根据“硬化假说”对“重度”吸烟情况进行调查,并研究“重度”吸烟与社会经济地位(SES)之间的关系。
分析采用了2001年至2010年期间澳大利亚全国药物战略家庭调查四轮的数据,这是一项大型全国性调查,每轮样本量约为24000名参与者。主要结果变量是“重度”吸烟,由以下变量组成:“过去12个月内未尝试戒烟”;“无戒烟计划”;以及每天吸烟超过15支。使用的主要预测变量是通过地区社会经济指数(SEIFA)评估的社会经济地位以及调查轮次。还研究了其他社会人口学变量。
总体而言,2001年至2010年期间“重度”吸烟情况保持稳定。然而,高社会经济地位吸烟者中的“重度”吸烟情况有所下降(从1.8%降至1.0%),但低社会经济地位吸烟者中的情况并未下降(约为3.4%)。“重度”吸烟与SEIFA五分位数密切相关(p<0.001)。SEIFA最高和最低五分位数与调查轮次之间存在显著的交互作用(p=0.025),在SEIFA最高的两个五分位数人群中,四轮调查中“重度”吸烟指标有所下降,2010年的比值为0.39(95%可信区间0.17至0.87;p=0.012),低于2001年的0.64(95%可信区间0.50至0.82;p<0.001),而在SEIFA最低的两个五分位数人群中,“重度”吸烟情况保持稳定。
高社会经济地位吸烟者的结果表明,“重度”吸烟者能够戒烟,但低社会经济地位吸烟者的结果则不那么乐观。