Loeffler A G, Friedl Erika
Department of Pathology and Laboratory Sciences, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Madison, WI 53705-3224, USA.
Department of Anthropology, Western Michigan University, Kalamazoo, MI 49008, USA.
Homo. 2014 Jun;65(3):240-55. doi: 10.1016/j.jchb.2013.12.001. Epub 2014 Mar 18.
The recent steep decline in Iran's birthrate poses methodological and interpretive challenges insofar as statistical information on demographic factors cannot satisfactorily establish causalities or delineate processes of change. Our research suggests that this decline rests on the interplay of socio-cultural "idea" variables that augment factors of the developmental paradigm commonly used in population studies. Especially modernist ideas labeled "progress" in Iran have influenced reproductive behavior. Aiming to demonstrate the usefulness of idea-oriented qualitative research for understanding demographic dynamics represented quantitatively in the literature, we contribute to an explanation of a particular case as well as to demographic research methods.
近期伊朗出生率的急剧下降带来了方法和解释方面的挑战,因为关于人口因素的统计信息无法令人满意地确定因果关系或描绘变化过程。我们的研究表明,这种下降取决于社会文化“观念”变量的相互作用,这些变量增强了人口研究中常用的发展范式的因素。特别是在伊朗被标记为“进步”的现代主义观念影响了生育行为。旨在证明以观念为导向的定性研究对于理解文献中定量呈现的人口动态的有用性,我们不仅有助于解释一个特定案例,也有助于人口研究方法。