Lanari Donatella, Bussini Odoardo
a Department of Economics, Finance and Statistics and Department of Medical and Surgery Specialties and Public Health , University of Perugia , Perugia , Italy.
Biodemography Soc Biol. 2014;60(1):101-14. doi: 10.1080/19485565.2014.899459.
Height convergence across Italian regions during the second half of the twentieth century is a widely recognized fact. However, it has been suggested that this process was partly affected by the massive migratory flow of people from southern to northern Italy in the 1950s and 1960s, which greatly slowed the height growth rate in the receiving regions, since immigrants were on average shorter than the receiving northern population. The main aims of this study were to estimate the speed of height convergence of Italian military conscripts in the second half of the twentieth century, and to estimate the contribution of internal migration from the south to the north of Italy to height convergence. We hypothesized that migrants from southern Italy reduced height levels among northerners relative to what they would have been without considering migration. We used cohort data on Italian conscripts born in 1951 and 1980. Results indicate that internal migration may explain from 24 to 32.7 percent of height convergence, meaning that ignoring migration flows yields an overestimation of the height changes for conscripts living in the south of Italy.
20世纪下半叶意大利各地区身高趋同是一个广为人知的事实。然而,有人认为这一过程部分受到20世纪50年代和60年代从意大利南部到北部大规模人口迁移流动的影响,这大大减缓了接收地区的身高增长率,因为移民平均比接收地的北方人口矮。本研究的主要目的是估计20世纪下半叶意大利应征入伍者身高趋同的速度,并估计意大利从南部到北部的内部迁移对身高趋同的贡献。我们假设,相对于不考虑迁移的情况,来自意大利南部的移民降低了北方人的身高水平。我们使用了1951年和1980年出生的意大利应征入伍者的队列数据。结果表明,内部迁移可能解释了身高趋同的24%至32.7%,这意味着忽略迁移流动会高估居住在意大利南部的应征入伍者身高变化。